Tulsa @ UTSA: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at UTSA · Conference game

Kickoff forecastIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Tulsa

4-3 · Power #87

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

UTSA

6-1 · Power #71

projected

TLSA 30%

70% UTSA

Spread

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Total

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model 55.5

Model line

UTSA -7.5

UTSA 70% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TLSA WLWLW	4-3	57%	1-3	—
UTSA WLLWL	4-3	57%	2-2	—

Venue/role: TLSA away; UTSA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TLSA UUOOO	3-4	43%	4-3
UTSA UOUOO	4-3	57%	6-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TLSA	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
UTSA	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Tulsa

No more games this season.

UTSA

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

TLSA 1–0 UTSA TLSA leads · 1 game since 2023 · TLSA has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 26 2024	UTSA 45 @ Tulsa 46	UTSA -9.5	TLSA W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TLSA−10.2 →−4.7▲ 5.5#87

UTSA+0.4 →−0.2▼ 0.6#71

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

TLSA

Longer bar = better

UTSA

#88

Offense

UTSA better ▶

#46

#63

Defense

◀ TLSA better

#84

+1.6 #5

Turnovers

◀ TLSA better

+0.6 #30

66 plays #68

Pace

Even

67 plays #61

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TLSA has the ball

Even matchup

	TLSA off	UTSA def	Edge
Points / game	29.0 #72	27.0 #99	TLSA
Yards / play	5.48 #101	5.61 #82	Even
PPA / play	+0.16 #65	+0.10 #77	Even
Success rate	39% #113	42% #78	UTSA

When UTSA has the ball

Even matchup

	UTSA off	TLSA def	Edge
Points / game	32.3 #49	22.4 #58	Even
Yards / play	6.15 #52	5.48 #74	UTSA
PPA / play	+0.22 #38	+0.05 #52	Even
Success rate	46% #43	41% #67	UTSA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

TLSA scoring against the UTSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TLSA scored	3.4 #114	9.7 #53	13.1 #92	8.0 #27	7.0 #65	15.0 #40
UTSA allowed	7.4 #120	8.0 #80	15.4 #108	3.3 #34	8.3 #115	11.6 #74

UTSA scoring against the TLSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTSA scored	7.3 #46	10.3 #47	17.6 #44	4.7 #104	10.0 #14	14.7 #47
TLSA allowed	4.9 #72	5.7 #41	10.6 #49	6.3 #92	4.6 #30	10.9 #67

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.