Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Wyoming
4-3 · Power #91
25
projected
@
4-3 · Power #122
25
projected
CONN 56%
44% WYO
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 49.5
Model line
CONN -2
CONN 56% to win
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
UConn 56%
Projected CONN 25 – WYO 25 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
CONN -2
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 49.5
How the model gets there (points from WYO’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadWYO rating edge−10.1+Home field+2.5+Travel+5.4=Model marginCONN by 2.2
TotalScoring ratings49.7=Model total49.7

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
CONN−4.3 →−4.9▼ 0.6#91
WYO−11.3 →−14.6▼ 3.3#122
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

CONN
Longer bar = better
WYO
#37
Offense
◀ CONN better
#89
#80
Defense
Even
#79
0.0 #71
Turnovers
◀ CONN better
−1.0 #133
66 plays #75
Pace
◀ CONN faster
60 plays #124
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When CONN has the ball
Advantage: CONN offense
CONN offWYO defEdge
Points / game 35.6 #31 20.9 #43 Even
Yards / play 6.81 #16 5.45 #71 CONN
PPA / play +0.21 #44 +0.14 #97 CONN
Success rate 44% #56 44% #103 CONN
When WYO has the ball
Even matchup
WYO offCONN defEdge
Points / game 18.3 #128 23.9 #72 CONN
Yards / play 5.54 #95 5.49 #76 Even
PPA / play +0.11 #85 +0.09 #71 Even
Success rate 46% #46 44% #100 WYO

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
CONN scoring against the WYO defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
CONN scored
12.0
#6
8.3
#82
20.3
#25
7.9
#28
6.4
#82
14.3
#53
WYO allowed
2.9
#22
7.7
#75
10.6
#50
5.3
#77
5.0
#41
10.3
#54
WYO scoring against the CONN defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
WYO scored
2.7
#122
4.7
#126
7.4
#132
2.4
#132
8.0
#50
10.4
#105
CONN allowed
4.7
#72
7.3
#72
12.0
#70
5.4
#79
5.3
#45
10.7
#64

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
WYO +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
CONN6d
WYO6d
Even
Tempo
Slow 126 plays
slowavg 133fast
Altitude
CONN +7,185 ft
Model adds 5.4 pts for travel

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.