Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Wyoming
CONN 56%44% WYO
Spread
—
Total
—
model 49.5
Model line
CONN -2
CONN 56% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
UConn 56%
Projected CONN 25 – WYO 25 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
CONN -2
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
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Model 49.5
How the model gets there (points from WYO’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadWYO rating edge−10.1+Home field+2.5+Travel+5.4=Model marginCONN by 2.2
TotalScoring ratings49.7=Model total49.7
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | |
| 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% |
Next 3 games
With how the last meeting with each opponent went
No more games this season.
No more games this season.
Recent meetings
The series
CONN 0–1 WYO
WYO leads · 1 game since 2021 · WYO has won the last meeting
All-time series from CollegeFootballData.
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
CONN−4.3 →−4.9▼ 0.6#91
WYO−11.3 →−14.6▼ 3.3#122
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12
Longer bar = better
#37
Offense
◀ CONN better#89
#80
Defense
Even#79
0.0 #71
Turnovers
◀ CONN better−1.0 #133
66 plays #75
Pace
◀ CONN faster60 plays #124
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| CONN off | WYO def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 35.6 #31 | 20.9 #43 | Even |
| Yards / play | 6.81 #16 | 5.45 #71 | CONN |
| PPA / play | +0.21 #44 | +0.14 #97 | CONN |
| Success rate | 44% #56 | 44% #103 | CONN |
| WYO off | CONN def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 18.3 #128 | 23.9 #72 | CONN |
| Yards / play | 5.54 #95 | 5.49 #76 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.11 #85 | +0.09 #71 | Even |
| Success rate | 46% #46 | 44% #100 | WYO |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
CONN scoring against the WYO defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12.0 #6 | 8.3 #82 | 20.3 #25 | 7.9 #28 | 6.4 #82 | 14.3 #53 | |
2.9 #22 | 7.7 #75 | 10.6 #50 | 5.3 #77 | 5.0 #41 | 10.3 #54 |
WYO scoring against the CONN defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2.7 #122 | 4.7 #126 | 7.4 #132 | 2.4 #132 | 8.0 #50 | 10.4 #105 | |
4.7 #72 | 7.3 #72 | 12.0 #70 | 5.4 #79 | 5.3 #45 | 10.7 #64 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
CONN6d
WYO6d
Even
Tempo
Slow 126 plays
slowavg 133fast
Altitude
CONN +7,185 ft
Model adds 5.4 pts for travel
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

