New Mexico @ Wyoming: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 9:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Wyoming · Conference game

New Mexico

5-1 · Power #56

projected

Sat 9:00 PM ET

Wyoming

4-3 · Power #122

projected

UNM 87%

13% WYO

Spread

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Total

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model 44

Model line

UNM -16

UNM 87% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UNM WWWWL	5-1	83%	2-1	—
WYO LWLWW	3-4	43%	2-1	—

Venue/role: UNM away; WYO home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UNM OUOOU	3-3	50%	5-1
WYO UUUUO	2-5	29%	4-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UNM	8-2 80%	7-3 70%	3-7 30%
WYO	4-6 40%	3-7 30%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

New Mexico

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	vs AFA	W20–3WU

Wyoming

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	vs CONN	No meeting since 2023

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

UNM 0–2 WYO WYO leads · 2 games since 2023 · WYO has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 2 2024	Wyoming 49 @ New Mexico 45	UNM -7.5	WYO W
Sep 30 2023	New Mexico 26 @ Wyoming 35	WYO -14.5	UNM W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UNM−4.8 →+3.8▲ 8.6#55

WYO−11.3 →−14.6▼ 3.3#122

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

UNM

Longer bar = better

WYO

#52

Offense

◀ UNM better

#89

Defense

◀ UNM better

#79

+2.8 #1

Turnovers

◀ UNM better

−1.0 #133

64 plays #93

Pace

◀ UNM faster

60 plays #124

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UNM has the ball

Advantage: UNM offense

	UNM off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	39.7 #10	20.9 #43	UNM
Yards / play	5.91 #67	5.45 #71	Even
PPA / play	+0.18 #58	+0.14 #97	UNM
Success rate	43% #73	44% #103	UNM

When WYO has the ball

Advantage: UNM defense

	WYO off	UNM def	Edge
Points / game	18.3 #128	10.5 #1	UNM
Yards / play	5.54 #95	4.51 #12	UNM
PPA / play	+0.11 #85	−0.18 #1	UNM
Success rate	46% #46	32% #1	UNM

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

UNM scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UNM scored	7.0 #50	11.3 #30	18.3 #39	12.2 #2	9.2 #25	21.3 #3
WYO allowed	2.9 #22	7.7 #75	10.6 #50	5.3 #77	5.0 #41	10.3 #54

WYO scoring against the UNM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	2.7 #122	4.7 #126	7.4 #132	2.4 #132	8.0 #50	10.4 #105
UNM allowed	1.7 #6	2.8 #6	4.5 #2	1.2 #4	4.8 #35	6.0 #7

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.