Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at UTEP · Conference game
4-3 · Power #122
26
projected
@
1-6 · Power #136
20
projected
WYO 66%
34% UTEP
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 46
Model line
WYO -5.5
WYO 66% to win
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Wyoming 66%
Projected WYO 26 – UTEP 20 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
WYO -5.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 46
How the model gets there (points from UTEP’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadUTEP rating edge−8.2+Home field+2.5=Model marginWYO by 5.7
TotalScoring ratings46.0=Model total46.0

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
WYO−11.3 →−14.6▼ 3.3#122
UTEP−15.9 →−22.0▼ 6.1#136
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

WYO
Longer bar = better
UTEP
#89
Offense
◀ WYO better
#133
#79
Defense
◀ WYO better
#130
−1.0 #133
Turnovers
UTEP better ▶
−0.3 #89
60 plays #124
Pace
Even
59 plays #131
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When WYO has the ball
Advantage: WYO offense
WYO offUTEP defEdge
Points / game 18.3 #128 37.3 #134 Even
Yards / play 5.54 #95 6.30 #121 WYO
PPA / play +0.11 #85 +0.28 #132 WYO
Success rate 46% #46 49% #133 WYO
When UTEP has the ball
Advantage: WYO defense
UTEP offWYO defEdge
Points / game 15.1 #134 20.9 #43 WYO
Yards / play 4.88 #127 5.45 #71 WYO
PPA / play −0.08 #136 +0.14 #97 WYO
Success rate 34% #136 44% #103 WYO

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
WYO scoring against the UTEP defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
WYO scored
2.7
#122
4.7
#126
7.4
#132
2.4
#132
8.0
#50
10.4
#105
UTEP allowed
10.4
#135
6.0
#47
16.4
#114
13.1
#138
7.7
#99
20.9
#138
UTEP scoring against the WYO defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
UTEP scored
2.0
#134
4.0
#134
6.0
#137
4.4
#108
4.7
#117
9.1
#122
WYO allowed
2.9
#22
7.7
#75
10.6
#50
5.3
#77
5.0
#41
10.3
#54

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
UTEP +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
WYO6d
UTEP7d
UTEP +1 day
Tempo
Slow 119 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.