Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at UTEP · Conference game
WYO 66%34% UTEP
Spread
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Total
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model 46
Model line
WYO -5.5
WYO 66% to win
Pick this game
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Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Wyoming 66%
Projected WYO 26 – UTEP 20 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
WYO -5.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
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Model 46
How the model gets there (points from UTEP’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadUTEP rating edge−8.2+Home field+2.5=Model marginWYO by 5.7
TotalScoring ratings46.0=Model total46.0
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% | |
| 1-9 10% | 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
WYO−11.3 →−14.6▼ 3.3#122
UTEP−15.9 →−22.0▼ 6.1#136
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10
Longer bar = better
#89
Offense
◀ WYO better#133
#79
Defense
◀ WYO better#130
−1.0 #133
Turnovers
UTEP better ▶−0.3 #89
60 plays #124
Pace
Even59 plays #131
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| WYO off | UTEP def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 18.3 #128 | 37.3 #134 | Even |
| Yards / play | 5.54 #95 | 6.30 #121 | WYO |
| PPA / play | +0.11 #85 | +0.28 #132 | WYO |
| Success rate | 46% #46 | 49% #133 | WYO |
| UTEP off | WYO def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 15.1 #134 | 20.9 #43 | WYO |
| Yards / play | 4.88 #127 | 5.45 #71 | WYO |
| PPA / play | −0.08 #136 | +0.14 #97 | WYO |
| Success rate | 34% #136 | 44% #103 | WYO |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
WYO scoring against the UTEP defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2.7 #122 | 4.7 #126 | 7.4 #132 | 2.4 #132 | 8.0 #50 | 10.4 #105 | |
10.4 #135 | 6.0 #47 | 16.4 #114 | 13.1 #138 | 7.7 #99 | 20.9 #138 |
UTEP scoring against the WYO defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2.0 #134 | 4.0 #134 | 6.0 #137 | 4.4 #108 | 4.7 #117 | 9.1 #122 | |
2.9 #22 | 7.7 #75 | 10.6 #50 | 5.3 #77 | 5.0 #41 | 10.3 #54 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
WYO6d
UTEP7d
UTEP +1 day
Tempo
Slow 119 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

