Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 10:30 PM ESTWeek 10 · at UNLV · Conference game
Kickoff forecastIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›
4-3 · Power #122
16
projected
@
4-3 · Power #84
29
projected
WYO 15%
85% UNLV
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 45
Model line
UNLV -14.5
UNLV 85% to win
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
UNLV 85%
Projected WYO 16 – UNLV 29 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
UNLV -14.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 45
How the model gets there (points from UNLV’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadUNLV rating edge+11.6+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginUNLV by 14.7
TotalScoring ratings45.0=Model total45.0

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
WYO−11.3 →−14.6▼ 3.3#122
UNLV−0.6 →−4.1▼ 3.5#84
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

WYO
Longer bar = better
UNLV
#89
Offense
Even
#101
#79
Defense
Even
#71
−1.0 #133
Turnovers
UNLV better ▶
0.0 #77
60 plays #124
Pace
UNLV faster ▶
66 plays #69
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When WYO has the ball
Even matchup
WYO offUNLV defEdge
Points / game 18.3 #128 23.7 #69 UNLV
Yards / play 5.54 #95 5.68 #90 Even
PPA / play +0.11 #85 +0.07 #64 UNLV
Success rate 46% #46 40% #59 Even
When UNLV has the ball
Advantage: WYO defense
UNLV offWYO defEdge
Points / game 24.1 #98 20.9 #43 WYO
Yards / play 5.59 #90 5.45 #71 Even
PPA / play +0.09 #94 +0.14 #97 Even
Success rate 38% #122 44% #103 Even

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
WYO scoring against the UNLV defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
WYO scored
2.7
#122
4.7
#126
7.4
#132
2.4
#132
8.0
#50
10.4
#105
UNLV allowed
4.3
#56
5.3
#31
9.6
#40
7.4
#110
6.7
#85
14.1
#112
UNLV scoring against the WYO defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
UNLV scored
4.0
#98
9.3
#63
13.3
#91
5.3
#89
5.6
#107
10.9
#97
WYO allowed
2.9
#22
7.7
#75
10.6
#50
5.3
#77
5.0
#41
10.3
#54

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
UNLV +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
Indoors
Dome or closed roof
Rest
WYO15d bye
UNLV7d
WYO +8 days
Tempo
Slow 126 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.