Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 10:30 PM ESTWeek 10 · at UNLV · Conference game
WYO 15%85% UNLV
Spread
—
Total
—
model 45
Model line
UNLV -14.5
UNLV 85% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
UNLV 85%
Projected WYO 16 – UNLV 29 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
UNLV -14.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 45
How the model gets there (points from UNLV’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadUNLV rating edge+11.6+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginUNLV by 14.7
TotalScoring ratings45.0=Model total45.0
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% | |
| 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 2 since 2023
WYO 14–13 UNLV
WYO leads · 27 games since 1978 · UNLV has won the last 2 meetings
All-time series from CollegeFootballData.
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 2025 | UNLV 31 @ Wyoming 17 | UNLV -4.5 | UNLV W |
| Nov 10 2023 | Wyoming 14 @ UNLV 34 | UNLV -3 | UNLV W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
WYO−11.3 →−14.6▼ 3.3#122
UNLV−0.6 →−4.1▼ 3.5#84
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9
Longer bar = better
#89
Offense
Even#101
#79
Defense
Even#71
−1.0 #133
Turnovers
UNLV better ▶0.0 #77
60 plays #124
Pace
UNLV faster ▶66 plays #69
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| WYO off | UNLV def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 18.3 #128 | 23.7 #69 | UNLV |
| Yards / play | 5.54 #95 | 5.68 #90 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.11 #85 | +0.07 #64 | UNLV |
| Success rate | 46% #46 | 40% #59 | Even |
| UNLV off | WYO def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 24.1 #98 | 20.9 #43 | WYO |
| Yards / play | 5.59 #90 | 5.45 #71 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.09 #94 | +0.14 #97 | Even |
| Success rate | 38% #122 | 44% #103 | Even |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
WYO scoring against the UNLV defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2.7 #122 | 4.7 #126 | 7.4 #132 | 2.4 #132 | 8.0 #50 | 10.4 #105 | |
4.3 #56 | 5.3 #31 | 9.6 #40 | 7.4 #110 | 6.7 #85 | 14.1 #112 |
UNLV scoring against the WYO defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.0 #98 | 9.3 #63 | 13.3 #91 | 5.3 #89 | 5.6 #107 | 10.9 #97 | |
2.9 #22 | 7.7 #75 | 10.6 #50 | 5.3 #77 | 5.0 #41 | 10.3 #54 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Indoors
Dome or closed roof
Rest
WYO15d bye
UNLV7d
WYO +8 days
Tempo
Slow 126 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

