Ohio @ Akron: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Tue, Nov 3, 2026, 7:00 PM ESTWeek 10 · at Akron · Conference game

Kickoff forecast44°F8 mphgusts 22DryWeather watch ›

Ohio

5-2 · Power #96

projected

Tue 7:00 PM ET

Akron

1-6 · Power #133

projected

OHIO 76%

24% AKR

Spread

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Total

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model 51

Model line

OHIO -10

OHIO 76% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

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no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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no open

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
OHIO WLLWW	4-3	57%	2-2	—
AKR LLLWL	3-4	43%	2-1	—

Venue/role: OHIO away; AKR home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
OHIO OUUUO	4-3	57%	5-2
AKR UUOUO	4-3	57%	1-6

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
OHIO	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
AKR	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Ohio

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 10	@ M-OH	W24–20WU
Nov 17	vs BALL	L14–20LU
Nov 27	vs TOL	W24–7WU

Akron

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 10	vs WMU	L24–34LO
Nov 18	@ MASS	W44–10WO
Nov 27	vs BUFF	W24–16WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

OHIO 23–10 AKR OHIO leads · 33 games since 1992 · OHIO has won the last 7 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 28 2024	Akron 10 @ Ohio 30	OHIO -7.5	OHIO W
Nov 24 2023	Ohio 25 @ Akron 14	OHIO -16	AKR W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

OHIO−5.6 →−7.1▼ 1.5#96

AKR−15.6 →−19.0▼ 3.4#133

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

OHIO

Longer bar = better

AKR

#50

Offense

◀ OHIO better

#114

#74

Defense

◀ OHIO better

#121

−0.4 #99

Turnovers

◀ OHIO better

−1.0 #131

64 plays #94

Pace

Even

65 plays #82

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When OHIO has the ball

Advantage: OHIO offense

	OHIO off	AKR def	Edge
Points / game	30.4 #63	32.4 #124	OHIO
Yards / play	5.79 #76	6.71 #132	OHIO
PPA / play	+0.22 #37	+0.23 #122	OHIO
Success rate	48% #24	44% #107	OHIO

When AKR has the ball

Advantage: OHIO defense

	AKR off	OHIO def	Edge
Points / game	18.9 #126	22.1 #56	OHIO
Yards / play	5.22 #114	5.51 #76	OHIO
PPA / play	+0.04 #109	+0.14 #96	Even
Success rate	40% #107	41% #68	OHIO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

OHIO scoring against the AKR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OHIO scored	6.9 #55	9.7 #53	16.6 #57	6.4 #61	6.7 #73	13.1 #74
AKR allowed	5.3 #83	12.3 #132	17.6 #121	7.7 #117	7.1 #95	14.9 #118

AKR scoring against the OHIO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
AKR scored	4.0 #98	4.9 #124	8.9 #124	3.3 #126	6.7 #73	10.0 #109
OHIO allowed	4.0 #46	5.3 #31	9.3 #38	6.0 #87	6.4 #77	12.4 #86

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.