UTSA @ Florida Atlantic: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Thu, Nov 5, 2026, 8:00 PM ESTWeek 10 · at Florida Atlantic · Conference game

Kickoff forecast77°F12 mphDryWeather watch ›

UTSA

6-1 · Power #71

projected

Thu 8:00 PM ET

Florida Atlantic

4-2 · Power #102

projected

UTSA 68%

32% FAU

Spread

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Total

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model 61.5

Model line

UTSA -6.5

UTSA 68% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

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no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UTSA WLLWL	4-3	57%	2-1	—
FAU WWWWL	4-2	67%	3-0	—

Venue/role: UTSA away; FAU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UTSA UOUOO	4-3	57%	6-1
FAU OUOOO	5-1	83%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UTSA	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
FAU	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

UTSA

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	vs UNT	L17–55LO
Nov 21	@ UAB	W41–20WU
Nov 28	vs TLSA	L45–46LO

Florida Atlantic

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ TLSA	W40–21WO
Nov 21	vs USF	L13–48LU
Nov 27	@ ECU	L3–42LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

UTSA 2–0 FAU UTSA leads · 2 games since 2023 · UTSA has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 19 2024	Florida Atlantic 24 @ UTSA 38	UTSA -4.5	UTSA W
Oct 21 2023	UTSA 36 @ Florida Atlantic 10	UTSA -2.5	UTSA W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UTSA+0.4 →−0.2▼ 0.6#71

FAU−10.2 →−9.0▲ 1.2#102

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

UTSA

Longer bar = better

FAU

#46

Offense

Even

#52

#84

Defense

◀ UTSA better

#114

+0.6 #30

Turnovers

◀ UTSA better

+0.3 #51

67 plays #61

Pace

FAU faster ▶

76 plays #6

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UTSA has the ball

Advantage: UTSA offense

	UTSA off	FAU def	Edge
Points / game	32.3 #49	31.5 #118	UTSA
Yards / play	6.15 #52	6.34 #123	UTSA
PPA / play	+0.22 #38	+0.25 #125	UTSA
Success rate	46% #43	42% #88	UTSA

When FAU has the ball

Advantage: FAU offense

	FAU off	UTSA def	Edge
Points / game	35.0 #38	27.0 #99	FAU
Yards / play	5.46 #102	5.61 #82	Even
PPA / play	+0.24 #31	+0.10 #77	FAU
Success rate	47% #35	42% #78	FAU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

UTSA scoring against the FAU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTSA scored	7.3 #46	10.3 #47	17.6 #44	4.7 #104	10.0 #14	14.7 #47
FAU allowed	8.0 #125	11.0 #123	19.0 #128	4.7 #67	7.8 #103	12.5 #87

FAU scoring against the UTSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FAU scored	12.2 #6	13.3 #13	25.5 #3	6.7 #55	2.8 #137	9.5 #119
UTSA allowed	7.4 #120	8.0 #80	15.4 #108	3.3 #34	8.3 #115	11.6 #74

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.