Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · at Tulane · Conference game
TLSA 42%58% TULN
Spread
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Total
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model 46
Model line
TULN -3
TULN 58% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Tulane 58%
Projected TLSA 22 – TULN 24 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
TULN -3
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
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Model 46
How the model gets there (points from TULN’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadTULN rating edge+0.3+Home field+2.5=Model marginTULN by 2.8
TotalScoring ratings46.6+Wind 6 mph−0.4=Model total46.2
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | |
| 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 2 since 2023
TLSA 13–8 TULN
TLSA leads · 21 games since 1968 · TULN has won the last 3 meetings
All-time series from CollegeFootballData.
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 2025 | Tulane 31 @ Tulsa 14 | TULN -14.5 | TULN W |
| Nov 11 2023 | Tulsa 22 @ Tulane 24 | TULN -24.5 | TLSA W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
TLSA−10.2 →−4.7▲ 5.5#87
TULN+2.5 →−4.3▼ 6.8#85
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9
Longer bar = better
#88
Offense
◀ TLSA better#111
#63
Defense
Even#75
+1.6 #5
Turnovers
◀ TLSA better+0.3 #53
66 plays #68
Pace
◀ TLSA faster59 plays #128
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| TLSA off | TULN def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 29.0 #72 | 21.7 #52 | Even |
| Yards / play | 5.48 #101 | 5.94 #104 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.16 #65 | +0.09 #70 | Even |
| Success rate | 39% #113 | 42% #75 | TULN |
| TULN off | TLSA def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 20.5 #116 | 22.4 #58 | TLSA |
| Yards / play | 5.61 #89 | 5.48 #74 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.06 #102 | +0.05 #52 | TLSA |
| Success rate | 33% #137 | 41% #67 | TLSA |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
TLSA scoring against the TULN defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.4 #114 | 9.7 #53 | 13.1 #92 | 8.0 #27 | 7.0 #65 | 15.0 #40 | |
4.5 #62 | 6.8 #64 | 11.3 #60 | 3.5 #38 | 6.8 #87 | 10.3 #58 |
TULN scoring against the TLSA defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2.3 #129 | 8.3 #80 | 10.7 #111 | 2.8 #127 | 7.0 #65 | 9.8 #112 | |
4.9 #72 | 5.7 #41 | 10.6 #49 | 6.3 #92 | 4.6 #30 | 10.9 #67 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
69° · 6 mph
Wind trims 0.4 pts off the total
Rest
TLSA14d bye
TULN7d
TLSA +7 days
Tempo
Slow 126 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

