Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · at UAB · Conference game
Kickoff forecast62°F1 mphDryWeather watch ›
1-6 · Power #135
18
projected
@
4-3 · Power #107
31
projected
CLT 14%
86% UAB
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 49
Model line
UAB -15
UAB 86% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
UAB 86%
Projected CLT 18 – UAB 31 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
UAB -15
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 49
How the model gets there (points from UAB’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadUAB rating edge+11.8+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginUAB by 14.9
TotalScoring ratings49.0=Model total49.0

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
CLT−18.1 →−20.5▼ 2.4#135
UAB−11.8 →−9.6▲ 2.2#107
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

CLT
Longer bar = better
UAB
#121
Offense
UAB better ▶
#106
#130
Defense
UAB better ▶
#61
−1.7 #138
Turnovers
UAB better ▶
0.0 #72
58 plays #135
Pace
UAB faster ▶
67 plays #59
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When CLT has the ball
Advantage: UAB defense
CLT offUAB defEdge
Points / game 19.1 #125 24.6 #75 UAB
Yards / play 5.37 #109 4.95 #33 UAB
PPA / play −0.02 #124 +0.02 #40 UAB
Success rate 38% #124 43% #96 UAB
When UAB has the ball
Advantage: UAB offense
UAB offCLT defEdge
Points / game 23.3 #104 40.6 #136 UAB
Yards / play 5.06 #120 6.58 #129 Even
PPA / play +0.04 #110 +0.25 #124 Even
Success rate 41% #88 48% #132 UAB

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
CLT scoring against the UAB defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
CLT scored
2.4
#125
4.0
#134
6.4
#134
5.0
#96
5.9
#96
10.9
#97
UAB allowed
7.0
#115
8.7
#98
15.7
#109
4.4
#58
4.4
#28
8.9
#34
UAB scoring against the CLT defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
UAB scored
2.9
#119
8.0
#87
10.9
#107
2.1
#133
8.4
#43
10.6
#101
CLT allowed
7.3
#117
12.0
#129
19.3
#131
8.9
#129
10.3
#133
19.1
#134

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
UAB +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
62° · 1 mph
gusts 1 mph · kickoff forecast
Rest
CLT7d
UAB7d
Even
Tempo
Slow 125 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.