Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · at UAB · Conference game
CLT 14%86% UAB
Spread
—
Total
—
model 49
Model line
UAB -15
UAB 86% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
UAB 86%
Projected CLT 18 – UAB 31 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
UAB -15
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 49
How the model gets there (points from UAB’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadUAB rating edge+11.8+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginUAB by 14.9
TotalScoring ratings49.0=Model total49.0
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | |
| 5-5 50% | 4-5-1 44% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 1 since 2023
CLT 1–0 UAB
CLT leads · 1 game since 2023 · CLT has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30 2024 | UAB 27 @ Charlotte 29 | CLT -1.5 | CLT W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
CLT−18.1 →−20.5▼ 2.4#135
UAB−11.8 →−9.6▲ 2.2#107
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9
Longer bar = better
#121
Offense
UAB better ▶#106
#130
Defense
UAB better ▶#61
−1.7 #138
Turnovers
UAB better ▶0.0 #72
58 plays #135
Pace
UAB faster ▶67 plays #59
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| CLT off | UAB def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 19.1 #125 | 24.6 #75 | UAB |
| Yards / play | 5.37 #109 | 4.95 #33 | UAB |
| PPA / play | −0.02 #124 | +0.02 #40 | UAB |
| Success rate | 38% #124 | 43% #96 | UAB |
| UAB off | CLT def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 23.3 #104 | 40.6 #136 | UAB |
| Yards / play | 5.06 #120 | 6.58 #129 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.04 #110 | +0.25 #124 | Even |
| Success rate | 41% #88 | 48% #132 | UAB |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
CLT scoring against the UAB defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2.4 #125 | 4.0 #134 | 6.4 #134 | 5.0 #96 | 5.9 #96 | 10.9 #97 | |
7.0 #115 | 8.7 #98 | 15.7 #109 | 4.4 #58 | 4.4 #28 | 8.9 #34 |
UAB scoring against the CLT defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2.9 #119 | 8.0 #87 | 10.9 #107 | 2.1 #133 | 8.4 #43 | 10.6 #101 | |
7.3 #117 | 12.0 #129 | 19.3 #131 | 8.9 #129 | 10.3 #133 | 19.1 #134 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
62° · 1 mph
gusts 1 mph · kickoff forecast
Rest
CLT7d
UAB7d
Even
Tempo
Slow 125 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

