East Carolina @ Charlotte: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2026)

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at Charlotte · Conference game

East Carolina

3-4 · Power #93

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Charlotte

1-6 · Power #135

projected

ECU 84%

16% CLT

Spread

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Total

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model 50.5

Model line

ECU -14

ECU 84% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

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Now—

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Total

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ECU WLWLW	3-4	43%	2-2	—
CLT WLLLW	3-4	43%	0-3	—

Venue/role: ECU away; CLT home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ECU UUUUO	2-5	29%	3-4
CLT UUOOO	4-3	57%	1-6

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ECU	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%
CLT	1-9 10%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

East Carolina

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ ARMY	W28–6WU
Nov 27	vs FAU	W42–3WU

Charlotte

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ TLSA	W33–26WO
Nov 28	vs NAVY	L17–51LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

ECU 1–2 CLT CLT leads · 3 games since 2023 · ECU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 8 2025	Charlotte 22 @ East Carolina 48	ECU -29.5	CLT W
Oct 5 2024	East Carolina 24 @ Charlotte 55	ECU -8.5	CLT W
Oct 21 2023	Charlotte 10 @ East Carolina 7	ECU -6	CLT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ECU+2.1 →−5.4▼ 7.5#93

CLT−18.1 →−20.5▼ 2.4#135

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

ECU

Longer bar = better

CLT

#109

Offense

Even

#120

#37

Defense

◀ ECU better

#130

−0.6 #111

Turnovers

◀ ECU better

−1.7 #138

67 plays #59

Pace

◀ ECU faster

58 plays #135

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ECU has the ball

Advantage: ECU offense

	ECU off	CLT def	Edge
Points / game	25.0 #92	40.6 #136	ECU
Yards / play	5.22 #115	6.58 #129	Even
PPA / play	+0.03 #112	+0.25 #124	Even
Success rate	39% #117	48% #132	Even

When CLT has the ball

Advantage: ECU defense

	CLT off	ECU def	Edge
Points / game	19.1 #125	26.3 #94	ECU
Yards / play	5.37 #108	4.87 #29	ECU
PPA / play	−0.02 #124	−0.02 #20	ECU
Success rate	38% #124	34% #5	ECU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

ECU scoring against the CLT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ECU scored	6.4 #62	8.7 #76	15.1 #69	4.6 #106	5.3 #113	9.9 #110
CLT allowed	7.3 #117	12.0 #129	19.3 #131	8.9 #129	10.3 #133	19.1 #134

CLT scoring against the ECU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLT scored	2.4 #125	4.0 #134	6.4 #134	5.0 #95	5.9 #96	10.9 #97
ECU allowed	2.3 #11	9.7 #111	12.0 #70	5.6 #84	5.9 #61	11.4 #71

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.