Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at Rutgers · Conference game
NEB 89%11% RUTG
Spread
—
Total
—
model 57.5
Model line
NEB -17
NEB 89% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Nebraska 89%
Projected NEB 36 – RUTG 22 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
NEB -17
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 57.5
How the model gets there (points from RUTG’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadRUTG rating edge−20.0+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginNEB by 16.9
TotalScoring ratings57.3=Model total57.3
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | |
| 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 1 since 2023
NEB 1–0 RUTG
NEB leads · 1 game since 2023 · NEB has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 2024 | Rutgers 7 @ Nebraska 14 | NEB -5.5 | NEB W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
NEB+6.6 →+15.6▲ 9.0#13
RUTG+2.3 →−3.1▼ 5.4#79
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10
Longer bar = better
#44
Offense
Even#54
#12
Defense
◀ NEB better#127
+0.9 #13
Turnovers
◀ NEB better−0.8 #127
72 plays #12
Pace
◀ NEB faster67 plays #65
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| NEB off | RUTG def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 35.6 #32 | 31.8 #119 | NEB |
| Yards / play | 5.97 #60 | 6.58 #130 | NEB |
| PPA / play | +0.24 #26 | +0.26 #128 | NEB |
| Success rate | 44% #57 | 48% #130 | NEB |
| RUTG off | NEB def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 31.2 #58 | 15.4 #15 | NEB |
| Yards / play | 6.03 #56 | 4.55 #13 | NEB |
| PPA / play | +0.16 #63 | −0.06 #12 | NEB |
| Success rate | 47% #40 | 34% #7 | NEB |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
NEB scoring against the RUTG defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8.4 #32 | 10.9 #35 | 19.3 #30 | 4.0 #115 | 12.3 #2 | 16.3 #28 | |
9.2 #133 | 10.3 #119 | 19.5 #133 | 5.3 #78 | 7.0 #89 | 12.3 #83 |
RUTG scoring against the NEB defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7.0 #50 | 6.7 #103 | 13.7 #87 | 9.2 #13 | 8.3 #45 | 17.5 #21 | |
4.6 #67 | 2.4 #5 | 7.0 #12 | 2.7 #26 | 5.7 #60 | 8.4 #31 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
NEB7d
RUTG7d
Even
Tempo
Fast 139 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

