Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at Rutgers · Conference game
5-2 · Power #13
36
projected
@
2-4 · Power #77
22
projected
NEB 89%
11% RUTG
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 57.5
Model line
NEB -17
NEB 89% to win
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Nebraska 89%
Projected NEB 36 – RUTG 22 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
NEB -17
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 57.5
How the model gets there (points from RUTG’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadRUTG rating edge−20.0+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginNEB by 16.9
TotalScoring ratings57.3=Model total57.3

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
NEB+6.6 →+15.6▲ 9.0#13
RUTG+2.3 →−3.1▼ 5.4#79
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

NEB
Longer bar = better
RUTG
#44
Offense
Even
#54
#12
Defense
◀ NEB better
#127
+0.9 #13
Turnovers
◀ NEB better
−0.8 #127
72 plays #12
Pace
◀ NEB faster
67 plays #65
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When NEB has the ball
Advantage: NEB offense
NEB offRUTG defEdge
Points / game 35.6 #32 31.8 #119 NEB
Yards / play 5.97 #60 6.58 #130 NEB
PPA / play +0.24 #26 +0.26 #128 NEB
Success rate 44% #57 48% #130 NEB
When RUTG has the ball
Advantage: NEB defense
RUTG offNEB defEdge
Points / game 31.2 #58 15.4 #15 NEB
Yards / play 6.03 #56 4.55 #13 NEB
PPA / play +0.16 #63 −0.06 #12 NEB
Success rate 47% #40 34% #7 NEB

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
NEB scoring against the RUTG defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
NEB scored
8.4
#32
10.9
#35
19.3
#30
4.0
#115
12.3
#2
16.3
#28
RUTG allowed
9.2
#133
10.3
#119
19.5
#133
5.3
#78
7.0
#89
12.3
#83
RUTG scoring against the NEB defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
RUTG scored
7.0
#50
6.7
#103
13.7
#87
9.2
#13
8.3
#45
17.5
#21
NEB allowed
4.6
#67
2.4
#5
7.0
#12
2.7
#26
5.7
#60
8.4
#31

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
RUTG +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
NEB7d
RUTG7d
Even
Tempo
Fast 139 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.