Nebraska @ Iowa: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Fri, Nov 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Iowa · Conference game

Nebraska

5-2 · Power #13

projected

Fri 12:00 PM ET

Iowa

5-1 · Power #27

projected

NEB 56%

44% IOWA

Spread

—

Total

—

model 46.5

Model line

NEB -2

NEB 56% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NEB LWWWW	6-1	86%	2-0	—
IOWA LWWLW	4-2	67%	2-2	—

Venue/role: NEB away; IOWA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NEB UUOUU	3-4	43%	5-2
IOWA UOUUO	2-4	33%	5-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NEB	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%
IOWA	8-2 80%	7-3 70%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Nebraska

No more games this season.

Iowa

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

NEB 0–3 IOWA IOWA leads · 3 games since 2023 · IOWA has won the last 3 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 28 2025	Iowa 40 @ Nebraska 16	IOWA -5.5	IOWA W
Nov 29 2024	Nebraska 10 @ Iowa 13	IOWA -3.5	NEB W
Nov 24 2023	Iowa 13 @ Nebraska 10	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NEB+6.6 →+15.6▲ 9.0#13

IOWA+11.4 →+11.3▼ 0.1#27

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

NEB

Longer bar = better

IOWA

#44

Offense

Even

#43

#12

Defense

Even

#25

+0.9 #13

Turnovers

◀ NEB better

+0.3 #48

72 plays #12

Pace

◀ NEB faster

62 plays #116

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NEB has the ball

Even matchup

	NEB off	IOWA def	Edge
Points / game	35.6 #32	14.5 #9	IOWA
Yards / play	5.97 #60	4.58 #17	IOWA
PPA / play	+0.24 #26	+0.05 #48	NEB
Success rate	44% #57	36% #24	IOWA

When IOWA has the ball

Advantage: NEB defense

	IOWA off	NEB def	Edge
Points / game	31.0 #61	15.4 #15	NEB
Yards / play	6.54 #29	4.55 #13	Even
PPA / play	+0.22 #39	−0.06 #12	NEB
Success rate	47% #41	34% #7	NEB

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

NEB scoring against the IOWA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NEB scored	8.4 #32	10.9 #36	19.3 #30	4.0 #115	12.3 #2	16.3 #28
IOWA allowed	2.8 #19	3.8 #16	6.7 #10	4.7 #67	3.2 #9	7.8 #20

IOWA scoring against the NEB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
IOWA scored	11.2 #10	9.7 #56	20.8 #21	3.5 #124	6.7 #78	10.2 #107
NEB allowed	4.6 #67	2.4 #5	7.0 #12	2.7 #26	5.7 #60	8.4 #31

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.