Purdue @ Indiana: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Indiana · Conference game

Purdue

3-4 · Power #57

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Indiana

7-1 · Power #7

projected

PUR 5%

95% IU

Spread

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Total

—

model 54.5

Model line

IU -23

IU 95% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PUR LLWWL	3-4	43%	1-1	—
IU LWLLL	1-7	13%	0-5	—

Venue/role: PUR away; IU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PUR OOUOO	6-1	86%	3-4
IU OOUUU	3-5	38%	7-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PUR	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	8-2 80%
IU	9-1 90%	2-8 20%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Purdue

No more games this season.

Indiana

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

PUR 75–44 IU (6 tied) PUR leads · 125 games since 1892 · IU has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 28 2025	Indiana 56 @ Purdue 3	IU -28.5	IU W
Nov 30 2024	Purdue 0 @ Indiana 66	IU -28.5	IU W
Nov 25 2023	Indiana 31 @ Purdue 35	PUR -6.5	IU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PUR−1.8 →+2.8▲ 4.6#57

IU+23.3 →+20.9▼ 2.4#7

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

PUR

Longer bar = better

#52

Offense

IU better ▶

#22

#128

Defense

IU better ▶

#12

+0.6 #29

Turnovers

Even

+0.5 #35

69 plays #45

Pace

◀ PUR faster

60 plays #127

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PUR has the ball

Advantage: IU defense

	PUR off	IU def	Edge
Points / game	31.3 #53	12.0 #3	IU
Yards / play	5.94 #60	4.13 #2	IU
PPA / play	+0.22 #40	−0.01 #24	Even
Success rate	45% #53	35% #19	IU

When IU has the ball

Advantage: IU offense

	IU off	PUR def	Edge
Points / game	33.6 #38	32.3 #122	IU
Yards / play	7.04 #7	6.74 #134	IU
PPA / play	+0.36 #2	+0.27 #129	IU
Success rate	47% #42	47% #128	IU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Key players

Season leaders before kickoff

Purdue7 games

Passing

Ryan Browne #15

1822 yds145/221 · 10 TD · 3 INT

Rushing

Fame Ijeboi #2

568 yds130 car · 9 TD · 4.4 avg

Receiving

Asaad Waseem #19

588 yds38 rec · 1 TD

Receiving

Xavier Townsend #3

370 yds32 rec · 2 TD

Defense

Jojo Hayden #0

48 tackles16 solo · 2 INT

Indiana8 games

Passing

Josh Hoover #10

1741 yds116/187 · 18 TD · 1 INT

Rushing

Turbo Richard #1

711 yds106 car · 6 TD · 6.7 avg

Receiving

Charlie Becker #80

726 yds42 rec · 8 TD

Receiving

Nick Marsh #11

610 yds34 rec · 7 TD

Defense

Isaiah Jones #46

60 tackles37 solo · 1 INT

Added up from each team’s box scores this season.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

PUR scoring against the IU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PUR scored	5.7 #77	8.1 #86	13.9 #84	7.1 #41	8.4 #41	15.6 #39
IU allowed	1.6 #3	1.6 #1	3.3 #1	3.8 #41	5.0 #36	8.8 #35

IU scoring against the PUR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
IU scored	6.5 #61	9.8 #51	16.3 #53	7.3 #40	9.3 #27	16.5 #23
PUR allowed	6.4 #105	10.1 #118	16.6 #119	3.9 #43	9.7 #129	13.6 #98

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.