Minnesota @ Wisconsin: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Fri, Nov 27, 2026, 7:30 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Wisconsin · Conference game

Minnesota

4-2 · Power #65

projected

Fri 7:30 PM ET

Wisconsin

4-2 · Power #33

projected

MINN 20%

80% WIS

Spread

—

Total

—

model 40

Model line

WIS -12

WIS 80% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MINN LWWWL	4-2	67%	1-1	—
WIS LWWWL	3-3	50%	2-1	—

Venue/role: MINN away; WIS home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MINN UUOUO	3-3	50%	4-2
WIS UOOUU	3-3	50%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MINN	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%
WIS	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Minnesota

No more games this season.

Wisconsin

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

MINN 2–1 WIS MINN leads · 3 games since 2023 · MINN has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2025	Wisconsin 7 @ Minnesota 17	WIS -2.5	MINN W
Nov 29 2024	Minnesota 24 @ Wisconsin 7	MINN -1.5	MINN W
Nov 25 2023	Wisconsin 28 @ Minnesota 14	WIS -3	WIS W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

MINN+1.1 →+0.5▼ 0.6#67

WIS+3.3 →+9.2▲ 5.9#33

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

MINN

Longer bar = better

WIS

#96

Offense

Even

#85

#54

Defense

WIS better ▶

#17

+0.2 #60

Turnovers

◀ MINN better

0.0 #76

63 plays #106

Pace

◀ MINN faster

59 plays #129

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MINN has the ball

Advantage: WIS defense

	MINN off	WIS def	Edge
Points / game	28.8 #72	16.7 #23	WIS
Yards / play	5.43 #106	4.32 #9	WIS
PPA / play	+0.03 #115	−0.04 #14	WIS
Success rate	41% #90	36% #22	WIS

When WIS has the ball

Advantage: MINN defense

	WIS off	MINN def	Edge
Points / game	27.5 #80	21.8 #54	MINN
Yards / play	5.96 #61	5.01 #41	Even
PPA / play	+0.13 #79	+0.05 #51	MINN
Success rate	38% #121	41% #70	MINN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

MINN scoring against the WIS defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MINN scored	8.0 #34	7.3 #95	15.3 #66	6.7 #54	6.8 #71	13.5 #65
WIS allowed	4.3 #57	5.0 #28	9.3 #39	3.3 #36	4.0 #18	7.3 #16

WIS scoring against the MINN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WIS scored	6.2 #71	8.5 #79	14.7 #75	6.2 #68	6.7 #79	12.8 #78
MINN allowed	4.0 #46	9.2 #105	13.2 #86	1.7 #8	7.0 #89	8.7 #32

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.