Washington @ Oregon: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Oregon · Conference game

Washington

4-3 · Power #42

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Oregon

4-2 · Power #9

projected

WASH 13%

87% ORE

Spread

ORE -15.5

Total

54.5

model 50.5

Spread edge

Even

matches market

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

ESPNupdated Sep 29, 12:25 AM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentORE -15.5

Total54.5

Last updateSep 29, 12:25 AM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

NowORE -15.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now54.5

Line context

Home favorites of 14.5–16.5 since 2023: won 89%, covered 50% (135 games)ⓘ

ESPNupdated Sep 29, 12:25 AM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentORE -15.5

Total54.5

Last updateSep 29, 12:25 AM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ORE as a 15.5-point home favorite against WASH, the favorite won 9, covered 7, and 4 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 87%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 19.7 against an average line of 15; 55.5 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TEX vs TTU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & spread	-16	57–7	W	O53.5
Very close	ALA vs MIZ 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & spread	-16	34–0	W	U51.5
Very close	FSU vs MIA 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & rest	-14.5	27–20	L	U50.5
Very close	CLEM vs GT 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & total	-15.5	42–21	W	O55
Very close	USC vs RUTG 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & total	-13.75	42–20	W	O56.25
Very close	MISS vs SC 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & rest	-13	30–14	W	U55.5
Very close	TEX vs FLA 2026 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & situation	-13.5	24–27	L	U51.5
Very close	UGA vs GT 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-17.5	44–42	L	O49
Very close	MIA vs NCSU 2025 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & situation	-16.5	41–7	W	U54.5
Very close	TCU vs COLO 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & total	-13.5	35–21	W	U57

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WASH LLWLW	2-5	29%	2-0	2-0
ORE LWWLL	2-4	33%	1-3	2-4

Venue/role: WASH away, as underdog; ORE home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WASH OOUOO	4-3	57%	4-3
ORE OOOUU	4-2	67%	4-2

In 1469 games with totals 50.5–58.5, 50% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WASH	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
ORE	7-3 70%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Washington

No more games this season.

Oregon

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 4 since 2023

WASH 2–2 ORE Series tied · 4 games since 2023 · ORE has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2025	Oregon 26 @ Washington 14	ORE -6.5	ORE W
Nov 30 2024	Washington 21 @ Oregon 49	ORE -17.5	ORE W
Dec 1 2023	Oregon 31 @ Washington 34	ORE -10	WASH W
Oct 14 2023	Oregon 33 @ Washington 36	WASH -3.5	ORE W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WASH+13.7 →+5.9▼ 7.8#44

ORE+25.4 →+17.5▼ 7.9#11

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

WASH

Longer bar = better

ORE

#69

Offense

Even

#70

#51

Defense

ORE better ▶

#32

+0.3 #57

Turnovers

◀ WASH better

0.0 #75

65 plays #88

Pace

ORE faster ▶

70 plays #31

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WASH has the ball

Advantage: ORE defense

	WASH off	ORE def	Edge
Points / game	27.9 #79	20.7 #42	ORE
Yards / play	5.99 #59	4.95 #32	ORE
PPA / play	+0.14 #74	−0.01 #29	ORE
Success rate	44% #63	37% #26	ORE

When ORE has the ball

Even matchup

	ORE off	WASH def	Edge
Points / game	37.0 #23	22.7 #60	ORE
Yards / play	6.01 #57	5.29 #59	Even
PPA / play	+0.08 #96	0.00 #32	WASH
Success rate	40% #102	40% #52	WASH

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

WASH scoring against the ORE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WASH scored	4.4 #94	10.1 #50	14.6 #79	4.1 #113	9.1 #27	13.3 #70
ORE allowed	2.2 #10	9.2 #105	11.3 #60	5.0 #72	4.3 #25	9.3 #42

ORE scoring against the WASH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ORE scored	7.3 #45	9.2 #67	16.5 #58	8.5 #20	12.0 #3	20.5 #6
WASH allowed	5.1 #81	8.0 #80	13.1 #83	4.0 #49	5.6 #53	9.6 #46

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.