Indiana @ Washington: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 12 · at Washington · Conference game

Indiana

6-1 · Power #7

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Washington

4-3 · Power #43

projected

IU 82%

18% WASH

Spread

—

Total

—

model 50

Model line

IU -13

IU 82% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
IU LLWLL	1-6	14%	1-1	—
WASH LLWLW	2-5	29%	0-5	—

Venue/role: IU away; WASH home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
IU UOOUU	3-4	43%	6-1
WASH OOUOO	4-3	57%	4-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
IU	9-1 90%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%
WASH	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Indiana

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	vs PUR	W56–3WO

Washington

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	@ ORE	L14–26LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

IU 1–0 WASH IU leads · 1 game since 2023 · IU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 26 2024	Washington 17 @ Indiana 31	IU -5.5	IU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

IU+23.3 →+21.7▼ 1.6#7

WASH+13.7 →+5.9▼ 7.8#44

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

Longer bar = better

WASH

#18

Offense

◀ IU better

#69

#14

Defense

◀ IU better

#51

+0.4 #44

Turnovers

Even

+0.3 #57

61 plays #123

Pace

WASH faster ▶

65 plays #88

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When IU has the ball

Advantage: IU offense

	IU off	WASH def	Edge
Points / game	36.6 #24	22.7 #60	IU
Yards / play	7.42 #4	5.29 #59	IU
PPA / play	+0.36 #2	0.00 #32	IU
Success rate	47% #42	40% #52	Even

When WASH has the ball

Advantage: IU defense

	WASH off	IU def	Edge
Points / game	27.9 #78	12.9 #4	IU
Yards / play	5.99 #59	4.32 #8	IU
PPA / play	+0.14 #74	−0.01 #24	IU
Success rate	44% #63	35% #19	IU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

IU scoring against the WASH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
IU scored	7.0 #50	10.7 #37	17.7 #42	8.3 #23	10.6 #9	18.9 #11
WASH allowed	5.1 #81	8.0 #82	13.1 #84	4.0 #48	5.6 #53	9.6 #46

WASH scoring against the IU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WASH scored	4.4 #94	10.1 #50	14.6 #78	4.1 #113	9.1 #27	13.3 #69
IU allowed	1.9 #7	1.9 #2	3.7 #1	3.9 #45	5.3 #45	9.1 #40

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.