Georgia @ South Carolina: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 12 · at South Carolina · Conference game

Georgia

6-1 · Power #4

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

South Carolina

3-3 · Power #28

projected

UGA 79%

21% SC

Spread

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Total

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model 57

Model line

UGA -11.5

UGA 79% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UGA WWLWL	5-2	71%	2-0	—
SC LLLLW	2-4	33%	1-3	—

Venue/role: UGA away; SC home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UGA OOOUO	6-1	86%	6-1
SC UOOOU	4-2	67%	3-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UGA	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
SC	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Georgia

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	vs GT	W16–9LU

South Carolina

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	@ CLEM	L14–28LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

UGA 1–0 SC UGA leads · 1 game since 2023 · UGA has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 16 2023	South Carolina 14 @ Georgia 24	UGA -26	SC W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UGA+22.1 →+23.6▲ 1.5#5

SC+9.4 →+11.1▲ 1.7#28

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

UGA

Longer bar = better

Offense

◀ UGA better

#38

#18

Defense

◀ UGA better

#83

+0.4 #47

Turnovers

◀ UGA better

−0.5 #108

61 plays #119

Pace

SC faster ▶

73 plays #9

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UGA has the ball

Advantage: UGA offense

	UGA off	SC def	Edge
Points / game	43.0 #2	25.5 #84	UGA
Yards / play	7.68 #2	5.37 #65	UGA
PPA / play	+0.33 #12	+0.16 #108	UGA
Success rate	53% #3	42% #76	UGA

When SC has the ball

Even matchup

	SC off	UGA def	Edge
Points / game	37.7 #17	15.9 #16	Even
Yards / play	6.52 #34	4.32 #7	UGA
PPA / play	+0.19 #48	0.00 #34	Even
Success rate	45% #54	35% #16	UGA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

UGA scoring against the SC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UGA scored	12.4 #3	13.0 #16	25.4 #4	7.9 #28	9.7 #18	17.6 #20
SC allowed	3.5 #41	8.5 #91	12.0 #70	6.7 #100	5.5 #50	12.2 #80

SC scoring against the UGA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SC scored	8.0 #34	11.3 #30	19.3 #28	7.0 #43	10.2 #12	17.2 #24
UGA allowed	2.0 #8	6.1 #50	8.1 #22	2.3 #16	5.4 #48	7.7 #19

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.