Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Georgia
GT 2%98% UGA
Spread
—
Total
—
model 56
Model line
UGA -28
UGA 98% to win
Pick this game
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Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Georgia 98%
Projected GT 15 – UGA 41 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
UGA -28
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 56
How the model gets there (points from UGA’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadUGA rating edge+25.5+Home field+2.5=Model marginUGA by 28.0
TotalScoring ratings55.8=Model total55.8
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | |
| 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Next 3 games
With how the last meeting with each opponent went
No more games this season.
No more games this season.
Recent meetings
Last 3 since 2023
GT 40–69 UGA (5 tied)
UGA leads · 114 games since 1902 · UGA has won the last 8 meetings
All-time series from CollegeFootballData.
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28 2025 | Georgia 16 @ Georgia Tech 9 | UGA -16.5 | GT W |
| Nov 29 2024 | Georgia Tech 42 @ Georgia 44 | UGA -17.5 | GT W |
| Nov 25 2023 | Georgia 31 @ Georgia Tech 23 | UGA -24.5 | GT W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
GT+7.5 →+0.5▼ 7.0#68
UGA+22.1 →+23.6▲ 1.5#5
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12
Longer bar = better
#59
Offense
UGA better ▶#5
#101
Defense
UGA better ▶#18
−0.7 #117
Turnovers
UGA better ▶+0.4 #47
62 plays #111
Pace
Even61 plays #119
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| GT off | UGA def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 26.7 #86 | 15.9 #16 | UGA |
| Yards / play | 6.13 #53 | 4.32 #7 | UGA |
| PPA / play | +0.20 #45 | 0.00 #34 | Even |
| Success rate | 45% #51 | 35% #16 | UGA |
| UGA off | GT def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 43.0 #2 | 27.2 #101 | UGA |
| Yards / play | 7.68 #2 | 5.68 #91 | UGA |
| PPA / play | +0.33 #12 | +0.21 #120 | UGA |
| Success rate | 53% #3 | 43% #91 | UGA |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
GT scoring against the UGA defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5.7 #84 | 7.8 #90 | 13.5 #89 | 6.8 #51 | 6.3 #85 | 13.2 #71 | |
2.0 #8 | 6.1 #50 | 8.1 #23 | 2.3 #16 | 5.4 #48 | 7.7 #19 |
UGA scoring against the GT defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12.4 #4 | 13.0 #16 | 25.4 #4 | 7.9 #29 | 9.7 #18 | 17.6 #20 | |
4.7 #68 | 8.3 #87 | 13.0 #80 | 7.8 #118 | 6.3 #73 | 14.2 #113 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
GT7d
UGA7d
Even
Tempo
Slow 123 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

