LSU @ Arkansas: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Arkansas · Conference game

LSU

5-2 · Power #6

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Arkansas

3-4 · Power #57

projected

LSU 91%

9% ARK

Spread

—

Total

—

model 52

Model line

LSU -19

LSU 91% to win

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LSU LWLLW	3-4	43%	0-2	—
ARK LWLWW	3-4	43%	2-2	—

Venue/role: LSU away; ARK home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LSU UUOOU	4-3	57%	5-2
ARK OUUUO	2-5	29%	3-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LSU	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
ARK	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

LSU

No more games this season.

Arkansas

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

LSU 3–0 ARK LSU leads · 3 games since 2023 · LSU has won the last 3 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 15 2025	Arkansas 22 @ LSU 23	LSU -4.5	ARK W
Oct 19 2024	LSU 34 @ Arkansas 10	LSU -2.5	LSU W
Sep 23 2023	Arkansas 31 @ LSU 34	LSU -17.5	ARK W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LSU+12.7 →+22.8▲ 10.1#6

ARK+7.3 →+2.6▼ 4.7#58

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

LSU

Longer bar = better

ARK

#20

Offense

◀ LSU better

#102

Defense

◀ LSU better

#103

−0.3 #95

Turnovers

ARK better ▶

+0.1 #65

79 plays #3

Pace

◀ LSU faster

69 plays #45

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LSU has the ball

Advantage: LSU offense

	LSU off	ARK def	Edge
Points / game	40.4 #7	26.7 #96	LSU
Yards / play	6.36 #43	6.02 #110	LSU
PPA / play	+0.25 #25	+0.20 #113	LSU
Success rate	52% #4	43% #94	LSU

When ARK has the ball

Advantage: LSU defense

	ARK off	LSU def	Edge
Points / game	21.0 #115	15.9 #17	LSU
Yards / play	4.99 #121	4.28 #5	LSU
PPA / play	+0.05 #103	−0.09 #8	LSU
Success rate	43% #67	32% #2	LSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

LSU scoring against the ARK defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LSU scored	10.3 #16	9.0 #72	19.3 #30	12.7 #1	7.4 #57	20.1 #8
ARK allowed	5.0 #75	8.6 #94	13.6 #93	6.7 #102	6.4 #77	13.1 #97

ARK scoring against the LSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARK scored	3.9 #104	4.3 #131	8.1 #127	6.0 #70	6.9 #69	12.9 #77
LSU allowed	2.9 #22	5.4 #34	8.3 #24	2.4 #21	4.0 #18	6.4 #8

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.