Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Missouri · Conference game
OU 39%61% MIZ
Spread
—
Total
—
model 42
Model line
MIZ -4
MIZ 61% to win
Pick this game
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Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Missouri 61%
Projected OU 19 – MIZ 23 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
MIZ -4
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 42
How the model gets there (points from MIZ’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadMIZ rating edge+1.5+Home field+2.5=Model marginMIZ by 4.0
TotalScoring ratings42.1=Model total42.1
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | |
| 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Next 3 games
With how the last meeting with each opponent went
No more games this season.
No more games this season.
Recent meetings
Last 2 since 2023
OU 68–25 MIZ (5 tied)
OU leads · 98 games since 1902 · OU has won the last meeting
All-time series from CollegeFootballData.
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 2025 | Missouri 6 @ Oklahoma 17 | OU -4.5 | OU W |
| Nov 9 2024 | Oklahoma 23 @ Missouri 30 | OU -3.5 | MIZ W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
OU+15.2 →+12.0▼ 3.2#23
MIZ+13.4 →+13.8▲ 0.4#19
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12
Longer bar = better
#123
Offense
MIZ better ▶#65
#14
Defense
◀ OU better#29
−1.3 #135
Turnovers
MIZ better ▶+0.7 #19
63 plays #108
Pace
MIZ faster ▶68 plays #49
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| OU off | MIZ def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 21.3 #112 | 19.6 #37 | MIZ |
| Yards / play | 4.97 #123 | 4.86 #27 | MIZ |
| PPA / play | −0.06 #133 | +0.01 #36 | MIZ |
| Success rate | 38% #125 | 35% #17 | MIZ |
| MIZ off | OU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 31.1 #60 | 18.2 #29 | OU |
| Yards / play | 6.29 #48 | 4.59 #18 | OU |
| PPA / play | +0.17 #60 | −0.11 #5 | OU |
| Success rate | 41% #91 | 33% #3 | OU |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
OU scoring against the MIZ defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.0 #98 | 4.5 #128 | 8.5 #125 | 7.2 #39 | 5.7 #103 | 12.8 #79 | |
5.3 #83 | 6.0 #47 | 11.3 #56 | 2.4 #21 | 5.9 #61 | 8.3 #28 |
MIZ scoring against the OU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2.9 #119 | 14.4 #7 | 17.3 #47 | 6.9 #49 | 7.0 #65 | 13.9 #61 | |
4.7 #68 | 6.7 #62 | 11.3 #60 | 0.5 #1 | 6.3 #73 | 6.8 #12 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
OU7d
MIZ7d
Even
Tempo
Average 131 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

