SMU @ Stanford: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Stanford · Conference game

SMU

5-1 · Power #35

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Stanford

3-4 · Power #97

projected

SMU 85%

15% STAN

Spread

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Total

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model 55

Model line

SMU -15

SMU 85% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

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no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SMU WLLLP	1-3-2	25%	0-1-1	—
STAN LWLLL	2-5	29%	2-2	—

Venue/role: SMU away; STAN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SMU OOUUU	2-4	33%	5-1
STAN UOOOU	5-2	71%	3-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SMU	8-2 80%	4-4-2 50%	4-6 40%
STAN	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

SMU

No more games this season.

Stanford

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

SMU 2–0 STAN SMU leads · 2 games since 2023 · SMU has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 11 2025	Stanford 10 @ SMU 34	SMU -19.5	SMU W
Oct 19 2024	SMU 40 @ Stanford 10	SMU -16.5	SMU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SMU+9.9 →+8.8▼ 1.1#35

STAN−2.6 →−8.0▼ 5.4#98

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

SMU

Longer bar = better

STAN

#31

Offense

◀ SMU better

#105

#43

Defense

◀ SMU better

#131

−0.5 #104

Turnovers

STAN better ▶

0.0 #73

69 plays #45

Pace

◀ SMU faster

65 plays #83

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SMU has the ball

Advantage: SMU offense

	SMU off	STAN def	Edge
Points / game	32.7 #47	36.6 #133	SMU
Yards / play	6.84 #13	6.50 #128	SMU
PPA / play	+0.21 #43	+0.31 #137	SMU
Success rate	49% #20	47% #124	SMU

When STAN has the ball

Advantage: SMU defense

	STAN off	SMU def	Edge
Points / game	18.3 #127	21.3 #47	SMU
Yards / play	5.33 #111	4.93 #31	SMU
PPA / play	+0.15 #69	+0.07 #58	Even
Success rate	39% #114	38% #37	SMU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

SMU scoring against the STAN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SMU scored	6.2 #71	13.2 #14	19.3 #28	5.0 #96	8.3 #45	13.3 #68
STAN allowed	7.6 #122	11.7 #126	19.3 #131	7.0 #105	10.3 #133	17.3 #128

STAN scoring against the SMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
STAN scored	2.4 #125	5.3 #118	7.7 #129	6.7 #53	3.9 #125	10.6 #101
SMU allowed	6.8 #111	2.2 #3	9.0 #34	4.0 #49	8.3 #117	12.3 #83

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.