Wake Forest @ Georgia Tech: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 12 · at Georgia Tech · Conference game

Wake Forest

6-1 · Power #20

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Georgia Tech

2-4 · Power #68

projected

WAKE 78%

22% GT

Spread

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Total

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model 54.5

Model line

WAKE -11

WAKE 78% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WAKE WWWWW	5-2	71%	3-1	—
GT LLLWL	1-5	17%	1-3	—

Venue/role: WAKE away; GT home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WAKE UUOUU	3-4	43%	6-1
GT OUOOO	4-2	67%	2-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WAKE	8-2 80%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%
GT	3-7 30%	2-8 20%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Wake Forest

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	vs DUKE	L32–49LO

Georgia Tech

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	@ UGA	L9–16WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

WAKE 0–2 GT GT leads · 2 games since 2023 · GT has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 27 2025	Georgia Tech 30 @ Wake Forest 29	GT -11.5	WAKE W
Sep 23 2023	Georgia Tech 30 @ Wake Forest 16	WAKE -3.5	GT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WAKE+3.0 →+13.3▲ 10.3#20

GT+7.5 →+0.5▼ 7.0#68

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

WAKE

Longer bar = better

#14

Offense

◀ WAKE better

#59

#46

Defense

◀ WAKE better

#101

+0.1 #63

Turnovers

◀ WAKE better

−0.7 #117

65 plays #77

Pace

◀ WAKE faster

62 plays #111

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WAKE has the ball

Advantage: WAKE offense

	WAKE off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	37.4 #20	27.2 #101	WAKE
Yards / play	6.83 #15	5.68 #91	WAKE
PPA / play	+0.36 #3	+0.21 #120	WAKE
Success rate	49% #18	43% #91	WAKE

When GT has the ball

Even matchup

	GT off	WAKE def	Edge
Points / game	26.7 #86	19.4 #36	WAKE
Yards / play	6.13 #53	4.59 #19	WAKE
PPA / play	+0.20 #45	+0.07 #63	Even
Success rate	45% #51	41% #66	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

WAKE scoring against the GT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WAKE scored	9.0 #28	12.3 #20	21.3 #18	8.1 #26	5.9 #96	14.0 #57
GT allowed	4.7 #68	8.3 #87	13.0 #80	7.8 #118	6.3 #73	14.2 #113

GT scoring against the WAKE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GT scored	5.7 #84	7.8 #90	13.5 #89	6.8 #51	6.3 #85	13.2 #71
WAKE allowed	4.0 #46	6.7 #63	10.7 #52	2.3 #16	4.6 #30	6.9 #14

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.