Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at Clemson · Conference game
GT 32%68% CLEM
Spread
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Total
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model 51
Model line
CLEM -6.5
CLEM 68% to win
Pick this game
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Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Clemson 68%
Projected GT 22 – CLEM 29 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
CLEM -6.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
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Model 51
How the model gets there (points from CLEM’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadCLEM rating edge+4.0+Home field+2.5=Model marginCLEM by 6.5
TotalScoring ratings50.8=Model total50.8
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | |
| 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 2 since 2023
GT 1–1 CLEM
Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · GT has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13 2025 | Clemson 21 @ Georgia Tech 24 | CLEM -2.5 | GT W |
| Nov 11 2023 | Georgia Tech 21 @ Clemson 42 | CLEM -14.5 | CLEM W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
GT+7.5 →+0.5▼ 7.0#68
CLEM+10.7 →+3.9▼ 6.8#54
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10
Longer bar = better
#59
Offense
◀ GT better#122
#101
Defense
CLEM better ▶#51
−0.7 #117
Turnovers
Even−0.7 #119
62 plays #111
Pace
CLEM faster ▶70 plays #35
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| GT off | CLEM def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 26.7 #86 | 21.5 #49 | CLEM |
| Yards / play | 6.13 #53 | 5.05 #45 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.20 #45 | +0.01 #38 | Even |
| Success rate | 45% #51 | 42% #73 | GT |
| CLEM off | GT def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 22.3 #107 | 27.2 #101 | Even |
| Yards / play | 4.88 #128 | 5.68 #91 | GT |
| PPA / play | −0.02 #125 | +0.21 #120 | Even |
| Success rate | 37% #129 | 43% #91 | GT |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
GT scoring against the CLEM defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5.7 #84 | 7.8 #90 | 13.5 #89 | 6.8 #51 | 6.3 #85 | 13.2 #71 | |
8.0 #125 | 5.2 #29 | 13.2 #85 | 3.8 #41 | 4.5 #29 | 8.3 #29 |
CLEM scoring against the GT defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.3 #96 | 8.2 #83 | 12.5 #97 | 2.7 #129 | 7.2 #61 | 9.8 #112 | |
4.7 #68 | 8.3 #87 | 13.0 #80 | 7.8 #118 | 6.3 #73 | 14.2 #113 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
GT7d
CLEM7d
Even
Tempo
Average 132 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

