Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at Clemson · Conference game
2-4 · Power #68
22
projected
@
4-2 · Power #52
29
projected
GT 32%
68% CLEM
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 51
Model line
CLEM -6.5
CLEM 68% to win
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Clemson 68%
Projected GT 22 – CLEM 29 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
CLEM -6.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 51
How the model gets there (points from CLEM’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadCLEM rating edge+4.0+Home field+2.5=Model marginCLEM by 6.5
TotalScoring ratings50.8=Model total50.8

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
GT+7.5 →+0.5▼ 7.0#68
CLEM+10.7 →+3.9▼ 6.8#54
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

GT
Longer bar = better
CLEM
#59
Offense
◀ GT better
#122
#101
Defense
CLEM better ▶
#51
−0.7 #117
Turnovers
Even
−0.7 #119
62 plays #111
Pace
CLEM faster ▶
70 plays #35
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When GT has the ball
Even matchup
GT offCLEM defEdge
Points / game 26.7 #86 21.5 #49 CLEM
Yards / play 6.13 #53 5.05 #45 Even
PPA / play +0.20 #45 +0.01 #38 Even
Success rate 45% #51 42% #73 GT
When CLEM has the ball
Advantage: GT defense
CLEM offGT defEdge
Points / game 22.3 #107 27.2 #101 Even
Yards / play 4.88 #128 5.68 #91 GT
PPA / play −0.02 #125 +0.21 #120 Even
Success rate 37% #129 43% #91 GT

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
GT scoring against the CLEM defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
GT scored
5.7
#84
7.8
#90
13.5
#89
6.8
#51
6.3
#85
13.2
#71
CLEM allowed
8.0
#125
5.2
#29
13.2
#85
3.8
#41
4.5
#29
8.3
#29
CLEM scoring against the GT defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
CLEM scored
4.3
#96
8.2
#83
12.5
#97
2.7
#129
7.2
#61
9.8
#112
GT allowed
4.7
#68
8.3
#87
13.0
#80
7.8
#118
6.3
#73
14.2
#113

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
CLEM +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
GT7d
CLEM7d
Even
Tempo
Average 132 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.