Louisville @ Georgia Tech: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · at Georgia Tech · Conference game

Louisville

4-3 · Power #23

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Georgia Tech

2-4 · Power #68

projected

LOU 76%

24% GT

Spread

—

Total

—

model 59

Model line

LOU -10

LOU 76% to win

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LOU WLLWL	4-3	57%	0-2	—
GT LLLWL	1-5	17%	1-3	—

Venue/role: LOU away; GT home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LOU OUOOO	6-1	86%	4-3
GT OUOOO	4-2	67%	2-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LOU	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%
GT	3-7 30%	2-8 20%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Louisville

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ UNC	No meeting since 2023
Nov 21	vs PITT	W34–27WO
Nov 28	@ UK	W41–0WU

Georgia Tech

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ CLEM	W24–21WU
Nov 21	vs WAKE	W30–29LO
Nov 28	@ UGA	L9–16WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

LOU 2–0 GT LOU leads · 2 games since 2023 · LOU has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 21 2024	Georgia Tech 19 @ Louisville 31	LOU -8.5	LOU W
Sep 1 2023	Louisville 39 @ Georgia Tech 34	LOU -9.5	GT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LOU+9.5 →+12.4▲ 2.9#22

GT+7.5 →+0.5▼ 7.0#68

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

LOU

Longer bar = better

#15

Offense

◀ LOU better

#59

#86

Defense

◀ LOU better

#101

+0.9 #14

Turnovers

◀ LOU better

−0.7 #117

63 plays #104

Pace

Even

62 plays #111

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LOU has the ball

Advantage: LOU offense

	LOU off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	38.7 #15	27.2 #101	LOU
Yards / play	7.67 #3	5.68 #91	LOU
PPA / play	+0.32 #15	+0.21 #120	LOU
Success rate	48% #25	43% #91	LOU

When GT has the ball

Advantage: GT offense

	GT off	LOU def	Edge
Points / game	26.7 #85	27.4 #102	Even
Yards / play	6.13 #53	5.60 #81	GT
PPA / play	+0.20 #45	+0.10 #80	GT
Success rate	45% #51	42% #82	GT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

LOU scoring against the GT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LOU scored	7.9 #38	9.4 #62	17.3 #47	11.4 #4	10.0 #14	21.4 #2
GT allowed	4.7 #68	8.3 #88	13.0 #81	7.8 #118	6.3 #72	14.2 #113

GT scoring against the LOU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GT scored	5.7 #84	7.8 #90	13.5 #89	6.8 #50	6.3 #87	13.2 #70
LOU allowed	5.7 #92	10.1 #117	15.9 #110	6.0 #88	5.6 #53	11.6 #74

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.