Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Pittsburgh · Conference game
GT 23%77% PITT
Spread
—
Total
—
model 53.5
Model line
PITT -10
PITT 77% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Pittsburgh 77%
Projected GT 22 – PITT 31 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
PITT -10
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 53.5
How the model gets there (points from PITT’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadPITT rating edge+7.7+Home field+2.5=Model marginPITT by 10.2
TotalScoring ratings53.4=Model total53.4
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | |
| 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 1 since 2023
GT 6–12 PITT
PITT leads · 18 games since 1918 · PITT has won the last meeting
All-time series from CollegeFootballData.
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 2025 | Pittsburgh 42 @ Georgia Tech 28 | GT -2.5 | PITT W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
GT+7.5 →+0.5▼ 7.0#68
PITT+6.4 →+7.6▲ 1.2#39
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8
Longer bar = better
#59
Offense
Even#61
#101
Defense
PITT better ▶#23
−0.7 #117
Turnovers
PITT better ▶+0.6 #29
62 plays #111
Pace
PITT faster ▶71 plays #19
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| GT off | PITT def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 26.7 #86 | 16.4 #22 | PITT |
| Yards / play | 6.13 #53 | 5.03 #43 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.20 #45 | −0.02 #19 | PITT |
| Success rate | 45% #51 | 34% #8 | PITT |
| PITT off | GT def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 32.9 #45 | 27.2 #101 | PITT |
| Yards / play | 6.30 #47 | 5.68 #91 | PITT |
| PPA / play | +0.13 #77 | +0.21 #120 | PITT |
| Success rate | 43% #74 | 43% #91 | Even |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
GT scoring against the PITT defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5.7 #84 | 7.8 #90 | 13.5 #89 | 6.8 #51 | 6.3 #85 | 13.2 #71 | |
3.0 #30 | 6.9 #66 | 9.9 #47 | 2.0 #11 | 4.6 #30 | 6.6 #9 |
PITT scoring against the GT defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10.1 #17 | 9.6 #60 | 19.7 #27 | 6.9 #49 | 6.3 #88 | 13.1 #74 | |
4.7 #68 | 8.3 #87 | 13.0 #80 | 7.8 #118 | 6.3 #73 | 14.2 #113 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
64° · 4 mph
gusts 8 mph · kickoff forecast
Rest
GT7d
PITT7d
Even
Tempo
Average 134 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

