Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Pittsburgh · Conference game
Kickoff forecast64°F4 mphDryWeather watch ›
2-4 · Power #68
22
projected
@
5-2 · Power #39
31
projected
GT 23%
77% PITT
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 53.5
Model line
PITT -10
PITT 77% to win
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Pittsburgh 77%
Projected GT 22 – PITT 31 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
PITT -10
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 53.5
How the model gets there (points from PITT’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadPITT rating edge+7.7+Home field+2.5=Model marginPITT by 10.2
TotalScoring ratings53.4=Model total53.4

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
GT+7.5 →+0.5▼ 7.0#68
PITT+6.4 →+7.6▲ 1.2#39
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

GT
Longer bar = better
PITT
#59
Offense
Even
#61
#101
Defense
PITT better ▶
#23
−0.7 #117
Turnovers
PITT better ▶
+0.6 #29
62 plays #111
Pace
PITT faster ▶
71 plays #19
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When GT has the ball
Advantage: PITT defense
GT offPITT defEdge
Points / game 26.7 #86 16.4 #22 PITT
Yards / play 6.13 #53 5.03 #43 Even
PPA / play +0.20 #45 −0.02 #19 PITT
Success rate 45% #51 34% #8 PITT
When PITT has the ball
Advantage: PITT offense
PITT offGT defEdge
Points / game 32.9 #45 27.2 #101 PITT
Yards / play 6.30 #47 5.68 #91 PITT
PPA / play +0.13 #77 +0.21 #120 PITT
Success rate 43% #74 43% #91 Even

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
GT scoring against the PITT defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
GT scored
5.7
#84
7.8
#90
13.5
#89
6.8
#51
6.3
#85
13.2
#71
PITT allowed
3.0
#30
6.9
#66
9.9
#47
2.0
#11
4.6
#30
6.6
#9
PITT scoring against the GT defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
PITT scored
10.1
#17
9.6
#60
19.7
#27
6.9
#49
6.3
#88
13.1
#74
GT allowed
4.7
#68
8.3
#87
13.0
#80
7.8
#118
6.3
#73
14.2
#113

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
PITT +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
64° · 4 mph
gusts 8 mph · kickoff forecast
Rest
GT7d
PITT7d
Even
Tempo
Average 134 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.