SMU @ Syracuse: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Syracuse · Conference game

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SMU

5-1 · Power #35

projected

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Syracuse

2-4 · Power #70

projected

SMU 68%

32% SYR

Spread

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Total

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model 54

Model line

SMU -6.5

SMU 68% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SMU WLLLP	1-3-2	25%	0-1-1	—
SYR LLLWW	3-3	50%	2-1	—

Venue/role: SMU away; SYR home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SMU OOUUU	2-4	33%	5-1
SYR UUOOO	4-2	67%	2-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SMU	8-2 80%	4-4-2 50%	4-6 40%
SYR	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

SMU

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 6	vs VT	No meeting since 2023
Nov 14	vs WAKE	L12–13LU
Nov 21	@ ND	No meeting since 2023

Syracuse

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	vs CLEM	W34–21WO
Nov 14	@ NCSU	W24–17WU
Nov 21	@ BC	L12–34LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

SMU 1–0 SYR SMU leads · 1 game since 2023 · SMU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 4 2025	Syracuse 18 @ SMU 31	SMU -17.5	SYR W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SMU+9.9 →+8.8▼ 1.1#35

SYR−3.6 →+0.7▲ 4.3#66

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

SMU

Longer bar = better

SYR

#31

Offense

◀ SMU better

#83

#43

Defense

◀ SMU better

#76

−0.5 #104

Turnovers

Even

−0.3 #96

69 plays #45

Pace

SYR faster ▶

81 plays #2

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SMU has the ball

Advantage: SMU offense

	SMU off	SYR def	Edge
Points / game	32.7 #47	25.7 #89	SMU
Yards / play	6.84 #13	5.37 #66	SMU
PPA / play	+0.21 #43	+0.08 #69	SMU
Success rate	49% #20	42% #81	SMU

When SYR has the ball

Advantage: SMU defense

	SYR off	SMU def	Edge
Points / game	31.7 #53	21.3 #47	Even
Yards / play	5.55 #94	4.93 #31	SMU
PPA / play	+0.05 #104	+0.07 #58	SMU
Success rate	42% #81	38% #37	SMU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

SMU scoring against the SYR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SMU scored	6.2 #71	13.2 #14	19.3 #28	5.0 #96	8.3 #45	13.3 #68
SYR allowed	5.8 #96	6.3 #56	12.2 #75	4.5 #63	7.8 #103	12.3 #83

SYR scoring against the SMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SYR scored	6.7 #61	15.0 #5	21.7 #14	2.5 #131	6.2 #90	8.7 #128
SMU allowed	6.8 #111	2.2 #3	9.0 #34	4.0 #49	8.3 #117	12.3 #83

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.