Week in numbers
Tap a number to filter the games below
Biggest Model FavoriteUCLA 99%win probability
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Ratings disagree with the opening line by 3+ pts
In 2025–2026, with a 3+ pt gap, lines moved toward the ratings in 70% of the 390 games where the line moved (444 at that gap); those teams covered 52.2% vs the opener, below the 52.4% break-even. How we tested this
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
| Moved toward | This week | 2026 | 2024–2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Any move | —3 to play | 178–153–654% | 789–801–850% |
| 1.5+ pts | —1 to play | 111–93–354% | 446–443–450% |
| 3+ pts | — | 61–49–155% | 215–206–251% |
| 5+ pts | — | 18–1358% | 47–4551% |
| 7+ pts | — | 3–175% | 13–765% |
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
No games match these filters
Loosen a filter, or start over.
Jump to
Tuesday, Oct 27
2Conf
3-4 · #113
3-4 · #115
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 56.5
Spread edge
—
model WKU -2.5
Winner
Conf
1-6 · #124
2-5 · #130
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 53
Spread edge
—
model MOST -1
Winner
Wednesday, Oct 28
2Conf
1-6 · #117
4-3 · #126
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 49.5
Spread edge
—
model KENN -0.5
Winner
Conf
5-2 · #99
3-4 · #119
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 49.5
Spread edge
—
model JXST -0.5
Winner
Thursday, Oct 29
2Conf
4-2 · #102
4-2 · #54
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 67
Spread edge
—
model UNT -17.5
Winner
Conf
3-3 · #98
7-1 · #51
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 53
Spread edge
—
model JMU -17
Winner
Friday, Oct 30
3
Conf
2-5 · #131
1-6 · #138
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 45.5
Spread edge
—
model KENT -4
Winner
Saturday, Oct 31
47Conf
Spread
ORE -7.5
no move
Total
52.5 ▲2
Under 0.5
Spread edge
ORE by 5
lean · context
Spread
Total
Winner
Conf
3-4 · #59
3-4 · #32
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 54.5
Spread edge
—
model PSU -11
Winner
Neutral
Spread
ND -28.5
no move
Total
53.5
Under 2.5
Spread edge
ND by 6
lean · context
Spread
Total
Winner
Conf
Spread
TTU -7.5
no move
Total
54.5 ▲2
Under 2
Spread edge
TTU by 2.5
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Conf
3-4 · #85
3-3 · #61
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 55.5
Spread edge
—
model NCSU -11.5
Winner
Conf
3-3 · #79
4-2 · #43
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 45.5
Spread edge
—
model DUKE -13
Winner
Conf
4-3 · #107
5-2 · #76
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 43.5
Spread edge
—
model USF -11
Winner
Conf
2-5 · #129
5-2 · #88
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 42
Spread edge
—
model WMU -15.5
Winner
Conf
4-3 · #114
2-5 · #112
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 45.5
Spread edge
—
model ODU -3.5
Winner
Conf
4-2 · #41
2-4 · #63
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 48.5
Spread edge
—
model Pick’em
Winner
Conf
2-5 · #116
4-2 · #91
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 57
Spread edge
—
model GAST -10.5
Winner
Conf
2-5 · #104
3-4 · #92
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 53
Spread edge
—
model ECU -7
Winner
Conf
4-2 · #83
4-3 · #101
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 58
Spread edge
—
model LT -3
Winner
Conf
3-4 · #97
4-3 · #22
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 58
Spread edge
—
model LOU -26.5
Winner
Conf
Spread
BYU -16.5
↗ 1 toward ASU
Total
51.5
Under 1.5
Spread edge
BYU by 4.5
lean · context
Spread
Total
Winner
Conf
2-4 · #110
2-4 · #95
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 57
Spread edge
—
model USU -7
Winner
Conf
1-6 · #136
6-1 · #74
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 47.5
Spread edge
—
model NDSU -25.5
Winner
Conf
3-4 · #105
6-1 · #67
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 44.5
Spread edge
—
model LIB -14
Winner
Conf
1-5 · #127
0-6 · #137
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 57
Spread edge
—
model USM -5
Winner
Conf
Spread
UTAH -9.5
no move
Total
56.5
Over 3.5
Spread edge
UTAH by 5
lean · context
Spread
Total
Winner
Conf
4-3 · #49
6-1 · #20
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 49
Spread edge
—
model WAKE -11.5
Winner
Conf
5-1 · #56
4-3 · #111
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 48.5
Spread edge
—
model UNM -13
Winner
Conf
Spread
OU -5.5
no move
Total
43.5
Over 3
Spread edge
SC by 0.5
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Conf
5-2 · #94
3-4 · #82
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 54.5
Spread edge
—
model GASO -5.5
Winner
Conf
4-2 · #44
3-3 · #50
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 54.5
Spread edge
—
model ISU -1
Winner
Conf
Spread
CLEM -1.5
Total
51.5
Over 2.5
Spread edge
FSU by 7.5
lean · context
Spread
Total
Winner
Conf
1-6 · #100
3-4 · #108
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 44
Spread edge
—
model Pick’em
Winner
Conf
Spread
MIA -14.5
no move
Total
50.5
Over 0.5
Spread edge
MIA by 4
lean · context
Spread
Total
Winner
Conf
Spread
OSU -6.5
↗ 1 toward USC
Total
53.5 ▼2
Over 5.5
Spread edge
OSU by 2
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Conf
4-2 · #29
4-2 · #8
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 54.5
Spread edge
—
model TEX -14
Winner
Conf
2-4 · #68
5-2 · #39
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 53.5
Spread edge
—
model PITT -10
Winner
Conf
4-3 · #42
5-2 · #13
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 50.5
Spread edge
—
model NEB -14.5
Winner
Conf
3-3 · #58
5-1 · #37
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 65.5
Spread edge
—
model BOIS -11
Winner
Conf
0-6 · #134
4-3 · #84
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 49.5
Spread edge
—
model UNLV -21.5
Winner
Conf
5-2 · #48
4-3 · #80
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 53
Spread edge
—
model ORST -6.5
Winner
Loading…
| Status | Matchup | Spread | Move | Total | Model | Signal | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading… | |||||||
Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.