Army @ Memphis: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Memphis · Conference game

Kickoff forecast73°F4 mphgusts 10DryWeather watch ›

Army

4-2 · Power #78

projected

Sat 8:00 PM ET

Memphis

6-2 · Power #62

projected

ARMY 27%

73% MEM

Spread

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Total

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model 57.5

Model line

MEM -8.5

MEM 73% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARMY LPLLW	2-3-1	40%	0-1-1	—
MEM LWWLL	4-4	50%	2-2	—

Venue/role: ARMY away; MEM home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARMY OUOUO	4-2	67%	4-2
MEM OOUUO	5-3	63%	6-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARMY	6-4 60%	5-4-1 56%	7-3 70%
MEM	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Army

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	vs AFA	W20–17WU
Nov 21	vs ECU	L6–28LU
Nov 28	@ RICE	W37–14WO

Memphis

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 12	@ USF	W34–31WO
Nov 21	@ NAVY	L17–28LU
Nov 27	vs TEM	W45–21WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARMY−10.8 →−3.0▲ 7.8#77

MEM+1.4 →+2.0▲ 0.6#61

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

ARMY

Longer bar = better

MEM

#22

Offense

Even

#26

#99

Defense

MEM better ▶

#66

+0.3 #52

Turnovers

MEM better ▶

+0.5 #38

65 plays #78

Pace

MEM faster ▶

71 plays #22

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARMY has the ball

Advantage: ARMY offense

	ARMY off	MEM def	Edge
Points / game	34.8 #39	23.8 #70	ARMY
Yards / play	6.55 #28	5.85 #101	ARMY
PPA / play	+0.32 #13	+0.07 #57	ARMY
Success rate	52% #6	38% #36	ARMY

When MEM has the ball

Advantage: MEM offense

	MEM off	ARMY def	Edge
Points / game	36.1 #28	20.0 #41	Even
Yards / play	7.17 #8	6.38 #125	MEM
PPA / play	+0.19 #49	+0.21 #117	MEM
Success rate	49% #19	45% #114	MEM

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

ARMY scoring against the MEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARMY scored	9.3 #20	7.5 #94	16.8 #52	6.0 #71	12.0 #3	18.0 #18
MEM allowed	2.9 #29	10.5 #122	13.4 #89	5.5 #81	4.9 #42	10.4 #62

MEM scoring against the ARMY defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MEM scored	5.1 #90	9.8 #52	14.9 #74	11.3 #7	9.1 #28	20.4 #7
ARMY allowed	5.8 #96	2.2 #3	8.0 #21	6.3 #93	5.7 #57	12.0 #78

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.