Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Nebraska · Conference game
Kickoff forecast63°F5 mphgusts 16Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›
4-3 · Power #42
19
projected
@
5-2 · Power #13
31
projected
WASH 15%
85% NEB
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 50.5
Model line
NEB -14.5
NEB 85% to win
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Prices

FanDuel · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
WASHNEBOverUnderWASHNEB
FanDuelFD+9.5-105-9.5-11548.5-11048.5-110+280-360

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Nebraska 85%
Projected WASH 19 – NEB 31 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
NEB -14.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 50.5
How the model gets there (points from NEB’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadNEB rating edge+10.0+Home field+2.5+Travel+1.8=Model marginNEB by 14.3
TotalScoring ratings50.7=Model total50.7

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
WASH+13.7 →+5.9▼ 7.8#44
NEB+6.6 →+15.6▲ 9.0#13
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

WASH
Longer bar = better
NEB
#69
Offense
NEB better ▶
#44
#51
Defense
NEB better ▶
#12
+0.3 #57
Turnovers
NEB better ▶
+0.9 #13
65 plays #88
Pace
NEB faster ▶
72 plays #12
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When WASH has the ball
Advantage: NEB defense
WASH offNEB defEdge
Points / game 27.9 #79 15.4 #15 NEB
Yards / play 5.99 #59 4.55 #13 NEB
PPA / play +0.14 #74 −0.06 #12 NEB
Success rate 44% #63 34% #7 NEB
When NEB has the ball
Even matchup
NEB offWASH defEdge
Points / game 35.6 #32 22.7 #60 NEB
Yards / play 5.97 #60 5.29 #59 Even
PPA / play +0.24 #26 0.00 #32 Even
Success rate 44% #57 40% #52 Even

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
WASH scoring against the NEB defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
WASH scored
4.4
#94
10.1
#50
14.6
#79
4.1
#113
9.1
#27
13.3
#70
NEB allowed
4.6
#67
2.4
#5
7.0
#12
2.7
#26
5.7
#60
8.4
#31
NEB scoring against the WASH defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
NEB scored
8.4
#32
10.9
#36
19.3
#30
4.0
#115
12.3
#2
16.3
#28
WASH allowed
5.1
#81
8.0
#80
13.1
#83
4.0
#49
5.6
#53
9.6
#46

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
NEB +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
63° · 5 mph
gusts 16 mph · 0.035 in rain · kickoff forecast
Rest
WASH15d bye
NEB14d bye
WASH +1 day
Tempo
Average 137 plays
slowavg 133fast
Travel
WASH 1,345 mi
Model moves the line 1.8 pts

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.