Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Nebraska · Conference game
WASH 15%85% NEB
Spread
—
Total
—
model 50.5
Model line
NEB -14.5
NEB 85% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Prices
FanDuel · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | Under | |||||
| FanDuelFD | +9.5-105 | -9.5-115 | 48.5-110 | 48.5-110 | +280 | -360 |
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Nebraska 85%
Projected WASH 19 – NEB 31 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
NEB -14.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 50.5
How the model gets there (points from NEB’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadNEB rating edge+10.0+Home field+2.5+Travel+1.8=Model marginNEB by 14.3
TotalScoring ratings50.7=Model total50.7
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | |
| 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
WASH+13.7 →+5.9▼ 7.8#44
NEB+6.6 →+15.6▲ 9.0#13
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8
Longer bar = better
#69
Offense
NEB better ▶#44
#51
Defense
NEB better ▶#12
+0.3 #57
Turnovers
NEB better ▶+0.9 #13
65 plays #88
Pace
NEB faster ▶72 plays #12
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| WASH off | NEB def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 27.9 #79 | 15.4 #15 | NEB |
| Yards / play | 5.99 #59 | 4.55 #13 | NEB |
| PPA / play | +0.14 #74 | −0.06 #12 | NEB |
| Success rate | 44% #63 | 34% #7 | NEB |
| NEB off | WASH def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 35.6 #32 | 22.7 #60 | NEB |
| Yards / play | 5.97 #60 | 5.29 #59 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.24 #26 | 0.00 #32 | Even |
| Success rate | 44% #57 | 40% #52 | Even |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
WASH scoring against the NEB defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.4 #94 | 10.1 #50 | 14.6 #79 | 4.1 #113 | 9.1 #27 | 13.3 #70 | |
4.6 #67 | 2.4 #5 | 7.0 #12 | 2.7 #26 | 5.7 #60 | 8.4 #31 |
NEB scoring against the WASH defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8.4 #32 | 10.9 #36 | 19.3 #30 | 4.0 #115 | 12.3 #2 | 16.3 #28 | |
5.1 #81 | 8.0 #80 | 13.1 #83 | 4.0 #49 | 5.6 #53 | 9.6 #46 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
63° · 5 mph
gusts 16 mph · 0.035 in rain · kickoff forecast
Rest
WASH15d bye
NEB14d bye
WASH +1 day
Tempo
Average 137 plays
slowavg 133fast
Travel
WASH 1,345 mi
Model moves the line 1.8 pts
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

