Nebraska @ Oregon: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 11:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Oregon · Conference game

Weather at kickoff56°F4 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Nebraska

5-1 · Power #13

final

Final

Oregon

3-2 · Power #9

▲ winner

Closing spread

ORE -6.5

✓ NEB W

Total

50.5

▼ Under · 31 pts

Model before kickoff

NEB 24–31 ORE

✓ ORE (69%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenORE -21.5

CloseORE -6.5

Total51.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenORE -21.5

15 → NEB

CloseORE -6.5

15 pts toward Nebraska

Total

Open51.5

▼ 1

Close50.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened ORE -21.5 · closed ORE -6.5 · moved 15 toward NEBmodel ORE -8

model ORE -8

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 5.5–7.5 since 2023: won 69%, covered 55% (274 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 55% (124 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenORE -21.5

CloseORE -6.5

Total51.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Prices

DraftKings · prices at kickoff

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	NEB	ORE	Over	Under	NEB	ORE
DraftKingsDK	+6.5-110	-6.5-110	50.5-115	50.5-105	+190	-230

Last prices before kickoff from ESPN’s odds feed. One book so far. Each row is that book’s own last price, so it can differ from the closing line on this card. Prices vary by state; check your book.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like ORE as a 6.5-point home favorite against NEB, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 0 went over the total.

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This game: ORE won 17–14; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 0 of the 1 similar games. 31 points stayed under 50.5, as in 1 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 68%

Favorite covered

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

0 of 10%

Normal range · usually 49%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 14 against an average line of 1.5; 34 points a game (usually 52.5). When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	CLEM vs FSU 2025 · Week 11 · loose · similar rest & situation	-1.5	24–10	W	U56.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NEB WLWWW	5-1	83%	1-0	1-0
ORE LLWWL	2-3	40%	1-2	2-3

Venue/role: NEB away, as underdog; ORE home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NEB OUUOU	3-3	50%	5-1
ORE OOOOU	4-1	80%	3-2

Stayed under: it needed 31 in the 4th quarter and got 11. 53% of games with totals 46.5–54.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NEB	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
ORE	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

NEB 6–3 ORE NEB leads · 9 games since 1952 · ORE has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NEB+6.6 →+14.8▲ 8.2#14

ORE+25.4 →+18.7▼ 6.7#10

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

NEB

Longer bar = better

ORE

#28

Offense

◀ NEB better

#51

#15

Defense

◀ NEB better

#51

+0.8 #14

Turnovers

◀ NEB better

+0.2 #60

73 plays #10

Pace

◀ NEB faster

69 plays #41

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NEB has the ball

Advantage: NEB offense

	NEB off	ORE def	Edge
Points / game	39.2 #16	22.0 #55	NEB
Yards / play	6.33 #44	5.22 #58	Even
PPA / play	+0.30 #18	+0.02 #40	NEB
Success rate	47% #34	39% #49	Even

When ORE has the ball

Advantage: NEB defense

	ORE off	NEB def	Edge
Points / game	41.0 #9	15.2 #14	Even
Yards / play	6.63 #22	4.86 #27	Even
PPA / play	+0.12 #83	−0.05 #12	NEB
Success rate	41% #88	33% #5	NEB

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

NEB scoring against the ORE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NEB scored	9.8 #18	11.5 #28	21.3 #19	3.5 #121	14.3 #2	17.8 #19
ORE allowed	2.6 #15	9.6 #107	12.2 #73	4.6 #68	5.2 #50	9.8 #49

ORE scoring against the NEB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ORE scored	8.8 #30	11.0 #36	19.8 #28	9.0 #16	12.2 #3	21.2 #5
NEB allowed	5.3 #85	2.8 #7	8.2 #25	2.2 #12	4.8 #39	7.0 #15

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.