Rutgers @ Maryland: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 12:30 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Maryland · Conference game

Weather at kickoff53°F14 mphgusts 24DryWeather watch ›

Rutgers

1-4 · Power #77

▲ winner

Final

Maryland

2-4 · Power #72

final

Closing spread

MD -5.5

✓ RUTG W

Total

55.5

▲ Over · 67 pts

Model before kickoff

RUTG 24–30 MD

✗ MD (67%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenMD -4.5

CloseMD -5.5

Total58.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenMD -4.5

1 → MD

CloseMD -5.5

1 pt toward Maryland

Total

Open58.5

▼ 3

Close55.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened MD -4.5 · closed MD -5.5 · moved 1 toward MDmodel MD -8

model MD -8

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 4.5–6.5 since 2023: won 66%, covered 52% (218 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 52% (345 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenMD -4.5

CloseMD -5.5

Total58.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like MD as a 5.5-point home favorite against RUTG, the favorite won 2, covered 1, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: RUTG won 37–30 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 9 of the 10 similar games. 67 points went over 55.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

2 of 1020%

Below normal · usually 63%

Favorite covered

1 of 1010%

Below normal · usually 50%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

Wins below normal, covers below normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: underdog by 8 against an average line of 5; 51.8 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	GT vs BC 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & situation	-6	23–38	L	O57
Very close	WVU vs COLO 2025 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & season form	-6.5	29–22	W	U51.5
Very close	MSU vs UCLA 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-7	13–38	L	U51.5
Very close	NCSU vs WAKE 2024 · Week 6 · very close · similar season form & team ratings	-4	30–34	L	O52.5
Close	CIN vs BAY 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & situation	-2.5	29–32	L	O50.5
Close	USA vs ARST 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar total & season form	-8.5	14–15	L	U57.5
Close	BC vs UVA 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar total & spread	-3.5	27–24	L	U52.5
Close	HOU vs CIN 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & total	-3	14–24	L	U53.75
Close	ARIZ vs WVU 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar season form & situation	-5.5	26–31	L	O51.5
Close	UVA vs UNC 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	14–41	L	U58.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
RUTG LLWWL	2-3	40%	0-1	1-2
MD WLLLW	3-3	50%	1-2	2-0

Venue/role: RUTG away, as underdog; MD home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
RUTG OUOOO	4-1	80%	1-4
MD UOOOO	5-1	83%	2-4

Went over in Q4. Of 683 earlier overs in games with totals 51.5–59.5, 32% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
RUTG	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%
MD	2-8 20%	3-7 30%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

RUTG 10–12 MD MD leads · 22 games since 1920 · RUTG has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 8 2025	Maryland 20 @ Rutgers 35	RUTG -1.5	RUTG W
Nov 16 2024	Rutgers 31 @ Maryland 17	MD -4.5	RUTG W
Nov 25 2023	Maryland 42 @ Rutgers 24	MD -2	MD W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

RUTG+2.3 →−4.1▼ 6.4#81

MD+0.7 →+1.0▲ 0.3#64

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

RUTG

Longer bar = better

#64

Offense

◀ RUTG better

#102

#129

Defense

MD better ▶

#100

−0.8 #125

Turnovers

MD better ▶

+0.3 #45

65 plays #77

Pace

MD faster ▶

69 plays #46

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When RUTG has the ball

Advantage: RUTG offense

	RUTG off	MD def	Edge
Points / game	30.0 #66	32.7 #126	RUTG
Yards / play	6.05 #60	5.53 #82	RUTG
PPA / play	+0.11 #85	+0.11 #87	Even
Success rate	46% #46	44% #103	RUTG

When MD has the ball

Advantage: MD offense

	MD off	RUTG def	Edge
Points / game	28.0 #76	32.2 #124	MD
Yards / play	5.50 #98	6.72 #130	MD
PPA / play	+0.02 #115	+0.28 #131	Even
Success rate	39% #117	49% #132	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

RUTG scoring against the MD defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
RUTG scored	7.0 #54	6.8 #104	13.8 #86	7.6 #42	8.6 #36	16.2 #30
MD allowed	5.8 #94	13.0 #133	18.8 #128	6.0 #89	7.8 #103	13.8 #108

MD scoring against the RUTG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MD scored	7.2 #53	9.7 #54	16.8 #56	6.8 #53	4.3 #119	11.2 #94
RUTG allowed	9.6 #132	9.2 #105	18.8 #126	6.4 #96	7.0 #85	13.4 #101

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.