Ohio State @ Indiana: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Indiana · Conference game

Weather at kickoff49°F6 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Ohio State

5-1 · Power #2

▲ winner

Final

Indiana

6-0 · Power #7

final

Closing spread

OSU -3

✓ OSU W

Total

49.5

▼ Under · 34 pts

Model before kickoff

OSU 28–25 IU

✓ OSU (58%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPick’em

CloseOSU -3

Total48.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPick’em

3 → OSU

CloseOSU -3

3 pts toward Ohio State

Total

Open48.5

▲ 1

Close49.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened Pick’em · closed OSU -3 · moved 3 toward OSUmodel OSU -2

model OSU -2

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 60%, covered 50% (230 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 3The team the line moved toward covered 46% (28 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPick’em

CloseOSU -3

Total48.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like OSU as a 3-point road favorite at IU, the favorite won 4, covered 4, and 3 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: OSU won 19–15; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 34 points stayed under 49.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

3 of 933%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 3.4 against an average line of 3.6; 48.6 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MICH @ PSU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & spread	-4.5	24–15	W	U44.5
Close	ALA @ TENN 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	17–24	L	U57.5
Close	FSU @ CLEM 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & spread	-2	31–24	W	P55
Close	OSU @ PSU 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & total	-3	20–13	W	U47.5
Close	UTAH @ BYU 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & situation	-4	21–24	L	U49.5
Close	UGA @ MISS 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & situation	-2	10–28	L	U55
Loose	OSU @ ORE 2024 · Week 7 · loose · similar situation & rest	-3.5	31–32	L	O54.5
Loose	UGA @ ALA 2024 · Week 5 · loose · similar situation & total	-2	34–41	L	O50
Loose	FLA @ MIZ 2026 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest & situation	-5.5	17–45	L	O57.5
Loose	ND @ DUKE 2023 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest & total	-5.5	21–14	W	U52.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
OSU WWLWL	4-2	67%	2-0	3-2
IU LLLWL	1-5	17%	0-4	—

Venue/role: OSU away, as favorite; IU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
OSU UOOUO	4-2	67%	5-1
IU UUOOU	3-3	50%	6-0

Stayed under: it needed 30 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 53% of games with totals 45.5–53.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
OSU	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
IU	10-0 100%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

OSU 82–13 IU (5 tied) OSU leads · 100 games since 1901 · OSU has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 6 2025	Indiana 13 @ Ohio State 10	OSU -3.5	IU W
Nov 23 2024	Indiana 15 @ Ohio State 38	OSU -10.5	OSU W
Sep 2 2023	Ohio State 23 @ Indiana 3	OSU -27.5	IU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

OSU+27.1 →+26.1▼ 1.0#2

IU+23.3 →+21.9▼ 1.4#7

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

OSU

Longer bar = better

Offense

Even

#11

#10

Defense

Even

#15

+0.3 #44

Turnovers

Even

+0.5 #38

69 plays #45

Pace

◀ OSU faster

59 plays #127

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When OSU has the ball

Even matchup

	OSU off	IU def	Edge
Points / game	42.7 #7	11.8 #5	Even
Yards / play	7.33 #6	4.27 #9	Even
PPA / play	+0.31 #16	−0.02 #26	Even
Success rate	53% #5	35% #18	Even

When IU has the ball

Even matchup

	IU off	OSU def	Edge
Points / game	40.2 #14	13.2 #7	Even
Yards / play	7.82 #3	4.00 #1	Even
PPA / play	+0.44 #2	−0.07 #11	Even
Success rate	49% #23	35% #19	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

OSU scoring against the IU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OSU scored	13.8 #1	12.7 #22	26.5 #5	6.3 #67	9.8 #17	16.2 #33
IU allowed	1.7 #6	1.0 #2	2.7 #1	4.0 #51	5.2 #48	9.2 #45

IU scoring against the OSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
IU scored	8.2 #40	11.3 #36	19.5 #38	9.7 #16	11.0 #8	20.7 #9
OSU allowed	2.7 #18	2.7 #11	5.3 #6	1.5 #10	6.3 #76	7.8 #27

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.