Nevada @ UCLA: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 4:15 PM EDTWeek 9 · at UCLA

Kickoff forecast70°F6 mphDryWeather watch ›

Nevada

2-4 · Power #109

projected

Sat 4:15 PM ET

UCLA

6-0 · Power #16

projected

NEV 1%

99% UCLA

Spread

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Total

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model 50.5

Model line

UCLA -30.5

UCLA 99% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NEV LLWWW	4-2	67%	2-1	—
UCLA WWWWW	6-0	100%	3-0	—

Venue/role: NEV away; UCLA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NEV UUOUO	3-3	50%	2-4
UCLA UOOUU	3-3	50%	6-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NEV	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%
UCLA	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Nevada

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 6	vs UNM	L22–24WU
Nov 14	@ NIU	No meeting since 2023
Nov 21	vs HAW	L13–34LO

UCLA

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	@ MINN	L17–21LU
Nov 13	vs ILL	No meeting since 2023
Nov 21	@ MICH	No meeting since 2023

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NEV−13.2 →−10.8▲ 2.4#108

UCLA+2.1 →+15.3▲ 13.2#15

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

NEV

Longer bar = better

UCLA

#95

Offense

UCLA better ▶

#40

#56

Defense

UCLA better ▶

#13

−1.3 #136

Turnovers

UCLA better ▶

+1.7 #3

64 plays #96

Pace

UCLA faster ▶

67 plays #57

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NEV has the ball

Advantage: UCLA defense

	NEV off	UCLA def	Edge
Points / game	26.0 #89	16.2 #20	UCLA
Yards / play	5.71 #85	4.59 #21	UCLA
PPA / play	+0.07 #101	−0.15 #2	UCLA
Success rate	40% #103	34% #9	UCLA

When UCLA has the ball

Even matchup

	UCLA off	NEV def	Edge
Points / game	35.5 #34	23.5 #66	UCLA
Yards / play	6.62 #22	4.90 #30	Even
PPA / play	+0.18 #57	+0.12 #85	UCLA
Success rate	46% #48	39% #44	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

NEV scoring against the UCLA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NEV scored	6.3 #65	4.5 #128	10.8 #109	7.3 #38	6.8 #70	14.2 #54
UCLA allowed	3.3 #35	4.5 #24	7.8 #19	4.0 #49	4.3 #25	8.3 #29

UCLA scoring against the NEV defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UCLA scored	5.7 #84	9.0 #72	14.7 #76	5.8 #80	15.0 #1	20.8 #5
NEV allowed	3.3 #35	8.3 #87	11.7 #65	2.5 #23	7.8 #103	10.3 #58

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.