UCLA @ Minnesota: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · at Minnesota · Conference game

Kickoff forecast59°F11 mphgusts 29DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

UCLA

6-0 · Power #16

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Minnesota

4-2 · Power #65

projected

UCLA 80%

20% MINN

Spread

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Total

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model 44.5

Model line

UCLA -11.5

UCLA 80% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UCLA WWWWW	6-0	100%	3-0	—
MINN LWWWL	4-2	67%	3-1	—

Venue/role: UCLA away; MINN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UCLA UOOUU	3-3	50%	6-0
MINN UUOUO	3-3	50%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UCLA	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%
MINN	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

UCLA

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 13	vs ILL	No meeting since 2023
Nov 21	@ MICH	No meeting since 2023
Nov 28	vs USC	L10–29WU

Minnesota

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ PSU	L25–26WO
Nov 21	vs NU	L35–38WO
Nov 27	@ WIS	W17–7WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

UCLA 0–1 MINN MINN leads · 1 game since 2023 · MINN has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 12 2024	Minnesota 21 @ UCLA 17	MINN -3.5	MINN W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UCLA+2.1 →+15.3▲ 13.2#15

MINN+1.1 →+0.5▼ 0.6#67

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

UCLA

Longer bar = better

MINN

#40

Offense

◀ UCLA better

#96

#13

Defense

◀ UCLA better

#54

+1.7 #3

Turnovers

◀ UCLA better

+0.2 #60

67 plays #57

Pace

◀ UCLA faster

63 plays #106

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UCLA has the ball

Even matchup

	UCLA off	MINN def	Edge
Points / game	35.5 #34	21.8 #54	Even
Yards / play	6.62 #22	5.01 #42	Even
PPA / play	+0.18 #57	+0.05 #51	Even
Success rate	46% #48	41% #70	UCLA

When MINN has the ball

Advantage: UCLA defense

	MINN off	UCLA def	Edge
Points / game	28.8 #73	16.2 #20	UCLA
Yards / play	5.43 #107	4.59 #21	UCLA
PPA / play	+0.03 #115	−0.15 #2	UCLA
Success rate	41% #90	34% #9	UCLA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

UCLA scoring against the MINN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UCLA scored	5.7 #84	9.0 #72	14.7 #76	5.8 #80	15.0 #1	20.8 #5
MINN allowed	4.0 #46	9.2 #105	13.2 #85	1.7 #7	7.0 #89	8.7 #32

MINN scoring against the UCLA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MINN scored	8.0 #35	7.3 #95	15.3 #68	6.7 #55	6.8 #70	13.5 #66
UCLA allowed	3.3 #35	4.5 #24	7.8 #19	4.0 #49	4.3 #25	8.3 #29

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.