West Virginia @ Texas Tech: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · at Texas Tech · Conference game

Kickoff forecast58°F6 mphDryWeather watch ›

West Virginia

4-3 · Power #73

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Texas Tech

6-0 · Power #15

projected

WVU 6%

94% TTU

Spread

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Total

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model 61.5

Model line

TTU -22.5

TTU 94% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

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Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WVU WLPLW	3-3-1	50%	0-0-1	—
TTU LLWWW	3-3	50%	2-2	—

Venue/role: WVU away; TTU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WVU OOOOO	7-0	100%	4-3
TTU OOOUO	4-2	67%	6-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WVU	5-5 50%	5-4-1 56%	8-2 80%
TTU	9-1 90%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

West Virginia

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	vs KU	L10–41LU
Nov 21	vs HOU	W45–35WO
Nov 27	@ UTAH	L14–48LO

Texas Tech

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ OKST	W42–0WU
Nov 21	@ BAY	L35–59LO
Nov 26	vs TCU	L34–35WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

WVU 7–8 TTU TTU leads · 15 games since 1937 · TTU has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2025	Texas Tech 49 @ West Virginia 0	TTU -24.5	TTU W
Nov 30 2024	West Virginia 15 @ Texas Tech 52	TTU -2.5	TTU W
Sep 23 2023	Texas Tech 13 @ West Virginia 20	TTU -6	WVU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WVU−1.3 →−1.7▼ 0.4#73

TTU+19.6 →+14.7▼ 4.9#16

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

WVU

Longer bar = better

TTU

#44

Offense

Even

#35

#132

Defense

TTU better ▶

#30

0.0 #79

Turnovers

TTU better ▶

+0.5 #39

77 plays #5

Pace

◀ WVU faster

67 plays #62

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WVU has the ball

Even matchup

	WVU off	TTU def	Edge
Points / game	37.6 #18	17.7 #27	Even
Yards / play	6.44 #37	5.15 #53	Even
PPA / play	+0.19 #53	−0.06 #11	TTU
Success rate	43% #69	37% #27	TTU

When TTU has the ball

Advantage: TTU offense

	TTU off	WVU def	Edge
Points / game	37.8 #16	34.0 #130	TTU
Yards / play	6.32 #45	7.22 #137	TTU
PPA / play	+0.19 #52	+0.29 #133	TTU
Success rate	48% #27	48% #129	TTU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

WVU scoring against the TTU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WVU scored	8.4 #32	10.4 #43	18.9 #36	8.9 #16	9.9 #16	18.7 #12
TTU allowed	4.0 #46	5.7 #37	9.7 #44	4.0 #49	4.0 #18	8.0 #24

TTU scoring against the WVU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TTU scored	7.5 #43	11.2 #35	18.7 #38	7.7 #33	11.5 #5	19.2 #10
WVU allowed	6.4 #107	6.9 #66	13.3 #88	8.1 #122	12.6 #138	20.7 #137

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.