Arizona @ Texas Tech: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Texas Tech · Conference game

Kickoff forecast67°F10 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Arizona

5-1 · Power #31

projected

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Texas Tech

6-0 · Power #15

projected

ARIZ 28%

72% TTU

Spread

TTU -7.5

no move since the open

Total

54.5

model 52

Spread edge

TTU by 2.5

no lean

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 9:54 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenTTU -7.5

CurrentTTU -7.5

Total52.5 → 54.5

Last update9:54 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenTTU -7.5

no move

NowTTU -7.5

No change since the open

Total

Open52.5

▲ 2

Now54.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and current line · tap a dot

Opened TTU -7.5 · unchangedmodel TTU -10

model TTU -10

Openline modelNow

Line context

Home favorites of 6.5–8.5 since 2023: won 73%, covered 57% (236 games)ⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 9:54 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenTTU -7.5

CurrentTTU -7.5

Total52.5 → 54.5

Last update9:54 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Books

2 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	ARIZ	TTU	Over	Under	ARIZ	TTU
DraftKingsDK	+7.5-120	-7.5+100	54.5-110	54.5-110	+215	-265
FanDuelFD	+6.5-105	-6.5-115	53.5-110	53.5-110	+198	-245

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API, updated 9:54 PM ET. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TTU as a 7.5-point home favorite against ARIZ, the favorite won 8, covered 6, and 4 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

4 of 944%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 14.8 against an average line of 6.7; 50 points a game (usually 52.5). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	KSU vs OKST 2024 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & situation	-6	42–20	W	O58
Very close	ARIZ vs CIN 2026 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & situation	-7	34–7	W	U56.5
Very close	TA&M vs AUB 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & situation	-6.5	16–10	L	U51.5
Very close	KSU vs KU 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & situation	-10	29–27	L	P56
Very close	KSU vs CIN 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & rest	-7.5	41–15	W	O54.5
Very close	KSU vs TCU 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & situation	-5.5	41–3	W	U60
Very close	LOU vs PITT 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	37–9	W	U57.5
Very close	KSU vs ASU 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & total	-7.5	14–24	L	U51.5
Very close	KU vs CIN 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & total	-5.5	34–37	L	O56
Close	ORST vs UCLA 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	36–24	W	O53.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARIZ LLLWW	2-4	33%	1-2	0-1
TTU LLWWW	3-3	50%	2-2	3-3

Venue/role: ARIZ away, as underdog; TTU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARIZ UOOUO	3-3	50%	5-1
TTU OOOUO	4-2	67%	6-0

In 1469 games with totals 50.5–58.5, 50% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARIZ	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%
TTU	9-1 90%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Arizona

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 6	vs TCU	L28–49LO
Nov 14	vs UTAH	W23–10WU
Nov 21	@ KSU	W23–17WU

Texas Tech

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	vs WVU	W49–0WU
Nov 14	@ OKST	W42–0WU
Nov 21	@ BAY	L35–59LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ARIZ 0–1 TTU TTU leads · 1 game since 2023 · TTU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 5 2024	Texas Tech 28 @ Arizona 22	ARIZ -5.5	TTU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARIZ+8.6 →+9.8▲ 1.2#31

TTU+19.6 →+14.7▼ 4.9#16

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

ARIZ

Longer bar = better

TTU

#19

Offense

◀ ARIZ better

#35

#24

Defense

Even

#30

−0.5 #109

Turnovers

TTU better ▶

+0.5 #39

67 plays #63

Pace

Even

67 plays #62

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARIZ has the ball

Even matchup

	ARIZ off	TTU def	Edge
Points / game	35.7 #31	17.7 #27	Even
Yards / play	6.83 #14	5.15 #53	ARIZ
PPA / play	+0.27 #20	−0.06 #11	Even
Success rate	50% #11	37% #27	Even

When TTU has the ball

Even matchup

	TTU off	ARIZ def	Edge
Points / game	37.8 #16	19.0 #32	Even
Yards / play	6.32 #45	4.87 #28	Even
PPA / play	+0.19 #52	−0.04 #16	ARIZ
Success rate	48% #27	36% #21	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

ARIZ scoring against the TTU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARIZ scored	8.7 #30	10.3 #45	19.0 #33	8.2 #24	8.5 #41	16.7 #26
TTU allowed	4.0 #46	5.7 #37	9.7 #44	4.0 #49	4.0 #18	8.0 #24

TTU scoring against the ARIZ defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TTU scored	7.5 #43	11.2 #35	18.7 #38	7.7 #33	11.5 #5	19.2 #10
ARIZ allowed	5.7 #89	4.0 #20	9.7 #44	2.3 #19	7.0 #89	9.3 #42

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.