Kansas @ TCU: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 9 · at TCU · Conference game

Kickoff forecast84°F12 mphgusts 19DryWeather watch ›

Kansas

2-4 · Power #46

projected

Sat 3:30 PM ET

TCU

3-3 · Power #36

projected

KU 33%

67% TCU

Spread

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Total

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model 45.5

Model line

TCU -6.5

TCU 67% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KU LLWLL	2-4	33%	0-2	—
TCU WWLLW	3-3	50%	2-1	—

Venue/role: KU away; TCU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KU OUOOO	4-2	67%	2-4
TCU OUUUU	1-5	17%	3-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KU	3-7 30%	3-6-1 33%	5-5 50%
TCU	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Kansas

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	vs UCF	W27–20WU
Nov 14	@ WVU	W41–10WU
Nov 21	vs BYU	W17–13WU

TCU

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 6	@ ARIZ	W49–28WO
Nov 14	vs KSU	L28–41LO
Nov 21	vs UTAH	W13–7WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

KU 0–1 TCU TCU leads · 1 game since 2023 · TCU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 28 2024	TCU 38 @ Kansas 27	KU -1.5	TCU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KU+3.1 →+5.3▲ 2.2#47

TCU+8.0 →+8.7▲ 0.7#36

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

Longer bar = better

TCU

#59

Offense

◀ KU better

#88

#57

Defense

TCU better ▶

−0.5 #102

Turnovers

TCU better ▶

−0.2 #85

70 plays #36

Pace

◀ KU faster

66 plays #73

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KU has the ball

Advantage: TCU defense

	KU off	TCU def	Edge
Points / game	32.0 #50	12.2 #3	TCU
Yards / play	6.45 #36	4.33 #10	TCU
PPA / play	+0.15 #72	−0.09 #7	TCU
Success rate	43% #78	34% #11	TCU

When TCU has the ball

Advantage: KU defense

	TCU off	KU def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #99	24.0 #73	KU
Yards / play	5.94 #62	5.43 #70	Even
PPA / play	+0.07 #100	+0.04 #46	KU
Success rate	41% #92	38% #38	KU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

KU scoring against the TCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KU scored	4.3 #96	13.2 #14	17.5 #45	7.0 #43	7.5 #56	14.5 #49
TCU allowed	2.8 #19	6.0 #47	8.8 #32	1.0 #2	2.3 #2	3.3 #1

TCU scoring against the KU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TCU scored	6.3 #65	6.3 #106	12.7 #94	5.7 #83	5.7 #103	11.3 #93
KU allowed	4.0 #46	6.5 #60	10.5 #48	5.7 #84	7.8 #103	13.5 #104

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.