UCF @ Kansas: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · at Kansas · Conference game

Kickoff forecast65°F9 mphgusts 19DryWeather watch ›

UCF

3-3 · Power #55

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Kansas

2-4 · Power #46

projected

UCF 35%

65% KU

Spread

—

Total

—

model 49.5

Model line

KU -5.5

KU 65% to win

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UCF WLWWL	4-2	67%	2-1	—
KU LLWLL	2-4	33%	2-1	—

Venue/role: UCF away; KU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UCF UOUUO	3-3	50%	3-3
KU OUOOO	4-2	67%	2-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UCF	4-6 40%	4-5 44%	6-4 60%
KU	3-7 30%	3-6-1 33%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

UCF

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	vs ASU	L31–35LO
Nov 20	vs ISU	L35–38WO
Nov 28	@ COLO	L21–48LO

Kansas

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ WVU	W41–10WU
Nov 21	vs BYU	W17–13WU
Nov 28	@ OKST	W38–21LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

UCF 0–2 KU KU leads · 2 games since 2023 · KU has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 4 2025	Kansas 27 @ UCF 20	KU -3.5	KU W
Oct 7 2023	UCF 22 @ Kansas 51	KU -3	KU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UCF+0.7 →+3.5▲ 2.8#56

KU+3.1 →+5.3▲ 2.2#47

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

UCF

Longer bar = better

#81

Offense

KU better ▶

#59

#48

Defense

Even

#57

+0.7 #26

Turnovers

◀ UCF better

−0.5 #102

61 plays #122

Pace

KU faster ▶

70 plays #36

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UCF has the ball

Advantage: KU defense

	UCF off	KU def	Edge
Points / game	31.7 #52	24.0 #73	UCF
Yards / play	5.83 #71	5.43 #70	Even
PPA / play	+0.07 #99	+0.04 #46	KU
Success rate	40% #100	38% #38	KU

When KU has the ball

Even matchup

	KU off	UCF def	Edge
Points / game	32.0 #50	21.7 #50	Even
Yards / play	6.45 #36	5.07 #49	Even
PPA / play	+0.15 #72	0.00 #33	UCF
Success rate	43% #78	41% #60	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

UCF scoring against the KU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UCF scored	11.0 #12	6.2 #108	17.2 #49	8.2 #24	6.3 #85	14.5 #49
KU allowed	4.0 #46	6.5 #60	10.5 #48	5.7 #84	7.8 #103	13.5 #104

KU scoring against the UCF defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KU scored	4.3 #96	13.2 #14	17.5 #45	7.0 #43	7.5 #56	14.5 #49
UCF allowed	4.0 #46	7.2 #70	11.2 #55	3.8 #41	6.7 #84	10.5 #63

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.