Colorado @ Arizona State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · at Arizona State · Conference game

Colorado

2-4 · Power #63

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Arizona State

3-3 · Power #66

projected

COLO 45%

55% ASU

Spread

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Total

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model 49

Model line

ASU -1.5

ASU 55% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
COLO LLLLW	2-4	33%	1-2	—
ASU LWLLL	2-4	33%	1-2	—

Venue/role: COLO away; ASU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
COLO OOUUO	3-3	50%	2-4
ASU OUOUO	4-2	67%	3-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
COLO	2-8 20%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%
ASU	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Colorado

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 13	vs HOU	L20–36LO
Nov 21	@ CIN	W34–23WO
Nov 28	vs UCF	W48–21WO

Arizona State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ UCF	W35–31WO
Nov 21	vs OKST	W42–21WO
Nov 28	@ ARIZ	L7–23LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

COLO 4–11 ASU ASU leads · 15 games since 2006 · ASU has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 22 2025	Arizona State 42 @ Colorado 17	ASU -6.5	ASU W
Oct 7 2023	Colorado 27 @ Arizona State 24	COLO -3	P

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

COLO−0.7 →+1.4▲ 2.1#63

ASU+6.4 →+0.3▼ 6.1#70

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

COLO

Longer bar = better

ASU

#112

Offense

ASU better ▶

#68

#49

Defense

◀ COLO better

#96

−1.0 #130

Turnovers

ASU better ▶

−0.7 #116

71 plays #20

Pace

◀ COLO faster

68 plays #56

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When COLO has the ball

Even matchup

	COLO off	ASU def	Edge
Points / game	19.5 #124	32.0 #121	Even
Yards / play	5.54 #96	5.61 #84	Even
PPA / play	+0.01 #118	+0.13 #92	ASU
Success rate	40% #109	42% #85	ASU

When ASU has the ball

Even matchup

	ASU off	COLO def	Edge
Points / game	31.3 #56	25.7 #88	ASU
Yards / play	6.20 #51	5.04 #43	Even
PPA / play	+0.05 #105	0.00 #31	COLO
Success rate	44% #60	38% #34	COLO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

COLO scoring against the ASU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
COLO scored	5.2 #89	4.7 #127	9.8 #118	5.0 #95	4.7 #120	9.7 #117
ASU allowed	8.7 #130	8.7 #96	17.3 #120	4.7 #67	10.0 #132	14.7 #117

ASU scoring against the COLO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ASU scored	9.2 #22	9.0 #72	18.2 #40	9.2 #13	4.0 #123	13.2 #70
COLO allowed	4.0 #46	7.8 #78	11.8 #66	5.5 #82	8.3 #117	13.8 #110

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.