Oklahoma State @ Kansas State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · at Kansas State · Conference game

Oklahoma State

4-2 · Power #44

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Kansas State

4-2 · Power #42

projected

OKST 42%

58% KSU

Spread

—

Total

—

model 58.5

Model line

KSU -3

KSU 58% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
OKST WWWWW	5-1	83%	2-1	—
KSU WLLLW	3-3	50%	3-2	—

Venue/role: OKST away; KSU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
OKST OUOOO	4-2	67%	4-2
KSU UOOUO	4-2	67%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
OKST	4-6 40%	9-1 90%	5-5 50%
KSU	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Oklahoma State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	vs TTU	L0–42LU
Nov 21	@ ASU	L21–42LO
Nov 28	vs KU	L21–38WO

Kansas State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ TCU	W41–28WO
Nov 21	vs ARIZ	L17–23LU
Nov 28	@ ISU	L21–24LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

OKST 1–2 KSU KSU leads · 3 games since 2023 · KSU has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 15 2025	Kansas State 14 @ Oklahoma State 6	KSU -19.5	OKST W
Sep 28 2024	Oklahoma State 20 @ Kansas State 42	KSU -5.5	KSU W
Oct 6 2023	Kansas State 21 @ Oklahoma State 29	KSU -10	OKST W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

OKST−8.9 →+6.1▲ 15.0#43

KSU+6.3 →+6.4▲ 0.1#42

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

OKST

Longer bar = better

KSU

#27

Offense

Even

#29

#73

Defense

KSU better ▶

#51

−0.7 #118

Turnovers

KSU better ▶

−0.3 #97

72 plays #17

Pace

Even

71 plays #27

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When OKST has the ball

Advantage: OKST offense

	OKST off	KSU def	Edge
Points / game	37.2 #21	20.0 #39	Even
Yards / play	7.24 #7	5.07 #46	OKST
PPA / play	+0.16 #61	+0.13 #89	OKST
Success rate	49% #17	37% #28	Even

When KSU has the ball

Advantage: KSU offense

	KSU off	OKST def	Edge
Points / game	35.5 #33	23.7 #68	KSU
Yards / play	6.58 #25	5.32 #63	KSU
PPA / play	+0.24 #28	+0.10 #76	KSU
Success rate	48% #30	42% #86	KSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

OKST scoring against the KSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OKST scored	5.0 #91	10.8 #36	15.8 #62	11.0 #8	10.3 #11	21.3 #3
KSU allowed	5.2 #82	6.2 #52	11.3 #60	6.3 #94	2.3 #2	8.7 #32

KSU scoring against the OKST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KSU scored	6.3 #65	11.7 #26	18.0 #41	8.5 #20	9.0 #29	17.5 #21
OKST allowed	6.3 #105	6.3 #56	12.7 #78	6.3 #94	4.7 #32	11.0 #68

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.