BYU @ Utah: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · at Utah · Conference game

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BYU

6-0 · Power #14

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Utah

6-0 · Power #10

projected

BYU 40%

60% UTAH

Spread

UTAH -3

Total

—

model 51.5

Spread edge

UTAH by 2

no lean

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Spread

Winner

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 10:55 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentUTAH -3

Total—

Last update10:55 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

NowUTAH -3

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

Line context

Home favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 59%, covered 50% (318 games)ⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 10:55 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentUTAH -3

Total—

Last update10:55 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UTAH as a 3-point home favorite against BYU, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 6 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 2.4 against an average line of 3; 52.6 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 6 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3.

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ORST vs UCLA 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3.5	36–24	W	O53.5
Very close	TEX vs KSU 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3.75	33–30	L	O49.25
Very close	MISS vs TA&M 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	38–35	P	O52.5
Very close	MISS vs LSU 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	24–19	W	U58
Very close	TENN vs OU 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	27–33	L	O55.5
Very close	CLEM vs SC 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	14–17	L	U49
Very close	VAN vs MIZ 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3	17–10	W	U52.5
Very close	TENN vs VAN 2025 · Week 14 · very close · similar situation & spread	-2.5	24–45	L	O66.5
Very close	ORST vs UTAH 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	21–7	W	U44.5
Very close	UNC vs MIA 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	41–31	W	O57

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BYU WWWWW	6-0	100%	2-0	1-0
UTAH WWWWL	5-1	83%	4-0	5-1

Venue/role: BYU away, as underdog; UTAH home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BYU UOUUO	3-3	50%	6-0
UTAH UUOOO	4-2	67%	6-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BYU	9-1 90%	8-1 89%	4-6 40%
UTAH	10-0 100%	7-2-1 78%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

BYU

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	vs BAY	W34–28WO
Nov 21	@ KU	L13–17LU
Nov 28	vs CIN	W26–14WU

Utah

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ ARIZ	L10–23LU
Nov 21	@ TCU	L7–13LU
Nov 27	vs WVU	W48–14WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

BYU 2–0 UTAH BYU leads · 2 games since 2023 · BYU has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 18 2025	Utah 21 @ BYU 24	UTAH -5.5	BYU W
Nov 9 2024	BYU 22 @ Utah 21	BYU -3.5	UTAH W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BYU+10.7 →+15.4▲ 4.7#14

UTAH+14.7 →+17.7▲ 3.0#9

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

BYU

Longer bar = better

UTAH

#23

Offense

Even

#14

#18

Defense

Even

#19

+0.5 #40

Turnovers

Even

+0.5 #33

62 plays #114

Pace

UTAH faster ▶

72 plays #16

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BYU has the ball

Even matchup

	BYU off	UTAH def	Edge
Points / game	33.5 #40	14.8 #12	UTAH
Yards / play	6.79 #18	4.82 #24	Even
PPA / play	+0.30 #17	−0.01 #26	Even
Success rate	50% #15	34% #12	Even

When UTAH has the ball

Even matchup

	UTAH off	BYU def	Edge
Points / game	40.2 #8	15.2 #14	Even
Yards / play	6.80 #17	4.42 #11	Even
PPA / play	+0.30 #18	−0.01 #27	Even
Success rate	50% #12	35% #20	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

BYU scoring against the UTAH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BYU scored	9.3 #19	12.2 #23	21.5 #16	6.3 #65	5.7 #103	12.0 #88
UTAH allowed	0.5 #1	4.5 #24	5.0 #3	6.3 #94	3.5 #12	9.8 #48

UTAH scoring against the BYU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTAH scored	12.5 #2	11.5 #27	24.0 #10	6.8 #50	9.3 #23	16.2 #30
BYU allowed	3.3 #35	4.0 #19	7.3 #16	2.2 #13	5.7 #57	7.8 #20

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.