Utah @ Arizona: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2026)

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at Arizona · Conference game

Utah

6-0 · Power #10

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Arizona

5-1 · Power #31

projected

UTAH 67%

33% ARIZ

Spread

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Total

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model 55.5

Model line

UTAH -6

UTAH 67% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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no open

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UTAH WWWWL	5-1	83%	1-1	—
ARIZ LLLWW	2-4	33%	1-2	—

Venue/role: UTAH away; ARIZ home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UTAH UUOOO	4-2	67%	6-0
ARIZ UOOUO	3-3	50%	5-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UTAH	10-0 100%	7-2-1 78%	7-3 70%
ARIZ	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Utah

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ TCU	L7–13LU
Nov 27	vs WVU	W48–14WO

Arizona

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ KSU	W23–17WU
Nov 28	vs ASU	W23–7WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

UTAH 0–2 ARIZ ARIZ leads · 2 games since 2023 · ARIZ has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 28 2024	Arizona 23 @ Utah 10	UTAH -7.5	ARIZ W
Nov 18 2023	Utah 18 @ Arizona 42	ARIZ -2.5	ARIZ W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UTAH+14.7 →+17.7▲ 3.0#9

ARIZ+8.6 →+9.8▲ 1.2#31

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

UTAH

Longer bar = better

ARIZ

#14

Offense

Even

#19

Defense

Even

#24

+0.5 #33

Turnovers

◀ UTAH better

−0.5 #109

72 plays #16

Pace

◀ UTAH faster

67 plays #64

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UTAH has the ball

Even matchup

	UTAH off	ARIZ def	Edge
Points / game	40.2 #8	19.0 #32	UTAH
Yards / play	6.80 #17	4.87 #28	Even
PPA / play	+0.30 #18	−0.04 #16	Even
Success rate	50% #12	36% #21	Even

When ARIZ has the ball

Even matchup

	ARIZ off	UTAH def	Edge
Points / game	35.7 #30	14.8 #12	Even
Yards / play	6.83 #14	4.82 #24	Even
PPA / play	+0.27 #20	−0.01 #26	Even
Success rate	50% #11	34% #12	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

UTAH scoring against the ARIZ defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTAH scored	12.5 #2	11.5 #27	24.0 #10	6.8 #50	9.3 #23	16.2 #30
ARIZ allowed	5.7 #89	4.0 #19	9.7 #44	2.3 #19	7.0 #89	9.3 #41

ARIZ scoring against the UTAH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARIZ scored	8.7 #30	10.3 #44	19.0 #33	8.2 #24	8.5 #41	16.7 #26
UTAH allowed	0.5 #1	4.5 #24	5.0 #3	6.3 #94	3.5 #12	9.8 #48

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.