Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at West Virginia · Conference game
KU 61%39% WVU
Spread
—
Total
—
model 62.5
Model line
KU -4
KU 61% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Kansas 61%
Projected KU 33 – WVU 30 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
KU -4
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 62.5
How the model gets there (points from WVU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadWVU rating edge−7.2+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.7=Model marginKU by 4.0
TotalScoring ratings62.7=Model total62.7
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 3-6-1 33% | 5-5 50% | |
| 5-5 50% | 5-4-1 56% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 2 since 2023
KU 1–1 WVU
Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · KU has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 2025 | West Virginia 10 @ Kansas 41 | KU -13.5 | KU W |
| Sep 21 2024 | Kansas 28 @ West Virginia 32 | WVU -1.5 | WVU W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
KU+3.1 →+5.3▲ 2.2#47
WVU−1.3 →−1.7▼ 0.4#73
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10
Longer bar = better
#59
Offense
WVU better ▶#44
#57
Defense
◀ KU better#132
−0.5 #102
Turnovers
WVU better ▶0.0 #79
70 plays #35
Pace
WVU faster ▶77 plays #5
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| KU off | WVU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 32.0 #50 | 34.0 #130 | KU |
| Yards / play | 6.45 #36 | 7.22 #137 | KU |
| PPA / play | +0.15 #72 | +0.29 #133 | KU |
| Success rate | 43% #78 | 48% #129 | KU |
| WVU off | KU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 37.6 #18 | 24.0 #74 | WVU |
| Yards / play | 6.44 #37 | 5.43 #70 | WVU |
| PPA / play | +0.19 #53 | +0.04 #46 | Even |
| Success rate | 43% #69 | 38% #38 | KU |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
KU scoring against the WVU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.3 #96 | 13.2 #14 | 17.5 #45 | 7.0 #43 | 7.5 #55 | 14.5 #49 | |
6.4 #107 | 6.9 #66 | 13.3 #89 | 8.1 #122 | 12.6 #138 | 20.7 #137 |
WVU scoring against the KU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8.4 #32 | 10.4 #42 | 18.9 #36 | 8.9 #16 | 9.9 #16 | 18.7 #12 | |
4.0 #46 | 6.5 #60 | 10.5 #49 | 5.7 #85 | 7.8 #103 | 13.5 #104 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
KU7d
WVU7d
Even
Tempo
Fast 147 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

