Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at West Virginia · Conference game
2-4 · Power #46
33
projected
@
4-3 · Power #73
30
projected
KU 61%
39% WVU
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 62.5
Model line
KU -4
KU 61% to win
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Kansas 61%
Projected KU 33 – WVU 30 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
KU -4
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 62.5
How the model gets there (points from WVU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadWVU rating edge−7.2+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.7=Model marginKU by 4.0
TotalScoring ratings62.7=Model total62.7

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
KU+3.1 →+5.3▲ 2.2#47
WVU−1.3 →−1.7▼ 0.4#73
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

KU
Longer bar = better
WVU
#59
Offense
WVU better ▶
#44
#57
Defense
◀ KU better
#132
−0.5 #102
Turnovers
WVU better ▶
0.0 #79
70 plays #35
Pace
WVU faster ▶
77 plays #5
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When KU has the ball
Advantage: KU offense
KU offWVU defEdge
Points / game 32.0 #50 34.0 #130 KU
Yards / play 6.45 #36 7.22 #137 KU
PPA / play +0.15 #72 +0.29 #133 KU
Success rate 43% #78 48% #129 KU
When WVU has the ball
Even matchup
WVU offKU defEdge
Points / game 37.6 #18 24.0 #74 WVU
Yards / play 6.44 #37 5.43 #70 WVU
PPA / play +0.19 #53 +0.04 #46 Even
Success rate 43% #69 38% #38 KU

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
KU scoring against the WVU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
KU scored
4.3
#96
13.2
#14
17.5
#45
7.0
#43
7.5
#55
14.5
#49
WVU allowed
6.4
#107
6.9
#66
13.3
#89
8.1
#122
12.6
#138
20.7
#137
WVU scoring against the KU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
WVU scored
8.4
#32
10.4
#42
18.9
#36
8.9
#16
9.9
#16
18.7
#12
KU allowed
4.0
#46
6.5
#60
10.5
#49
5.7
#85
7.8
#103
13.5
#104

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
WVU +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
KU7d
WVU7d
Even
Tempo
Fast 147 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.