Houston @ West Virginia: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 12 · at West Virginia · Conference game

Houston

6-1 · Power #21

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

West Virginia

4-3 · Power #73

projected

HOU 80%

20% WVU

Spread

—

Total

—

model 64.5

Model line

HOU -11.5

HOU 80% to win

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
HOU WLLWL	3-4	43%	2-1	—
WVU WLPLW	3-3-1	50%	2-3	—

Venue/role: HOU away; WVU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
HOU OOUUO	5-2	71%	6-1
WVU OOOOO	7-0	100%	4-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
HOU	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
WVU	5-5 50%	5-4-1 56%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Houston

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	vs BAY	W31–24WU

West Virginia

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 27	@ UTAH	L14–48LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

HOU 1–1 WVU Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · WVU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 1 2025	West Virginia 45 @ Houston 35	HOU -12.5	WVU W
Oct 12 2023	West Virginia 39 @ Houston 41	WVU -3	HOU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

HOU+3.9 →+12.7▲ 8.8#21

WVU−1.3 →−1.7▼ 0.4#73

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

HOU

Longer bar = better

WVU

Offense

◀ HOU better

#44

#79

Defense

◀ HOU better

#132

+0.7 #23

Turnovers

◀ HOU better

0.0 #79

71 plays #29

Pace

WVU faster ▶

77 plays #5

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When HOU has the ball

Advantage: HOU offense

	HOU off	WVU def	Edge
Points / game	39.3 #13	34.0 #130	HOU
Yards / play	6.86 #12	7.22 #137	HOU
PPA / play	+0.33 #8	+0.29 #133	HOU
Success rate	53% #2	48% #129	HOU

When WVU has the ball

Advantage: WVU offense

	WVU off	HOU def	Edge
Points / game	37.6 #18	21.0 #45	WVU
Yards / play	6.44 #37	5.83 #99	WVU
PPA / play	+0.19 #53	+0.12 #87	WVU
Success rate	43% #69	42% #83	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

HOU scoring against the WVU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
HOU scored	10.7 #14	10.4 #43	21.1 #19	11.4 #4	6.7 #73	18.1 #16
WVU allowed	6.4 #107	6.9 #66	13.3 #88	8.1 #122	12.6 #138	20.7 #137

WVU scoring against the HOU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WVU scored	8.4 #32	10.4 #43	18.9 #36	8.9 #16	9.9 #16	18.7 #12
HOU allowed	2.9 #23	4.4 #23	7.3 #15	7.6 #112	6.1 #65	13.7 #108

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.