Colorado @ Cincinnati: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 12 · at Cincinnati · Conference game

Colorado

2-4 · Power #63

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Cincinnati

4-2 · Power #64

projected

COLO 41%

59% CIN

Spread

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Total

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model 53.5

Model line

CIN -3.5

CIN 59% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

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no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
COLO LLLLW	2-4	33%	1-2	—
CIN WLWLL	3-3	50%	3-1	—

Venue/role: COLO away; CIN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
COLO OOUUO	3-3	50%	2-4
CIN OOOUO	4-2	67%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
COLO	2-8 20%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%
CIN	4-6 40%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Colorado

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	vs UCF	W48–21WO

Cincinnati

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	@ BYU	L14–26LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

COLO 1–0 CIN COLO leads · 1 game since 2023 · COLO has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 26 2024	Cincinnati 23 @ Colorado 34	COLO -6.5	COLO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

COLO−0.7 →+1.4▲ 2.1#63

CIN+1.4 →+1.0▼ 0.4#65

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

COLO

Longer bar = better

CIN

#112

Offense

CIN better ▶

#21

#49

Defense

◀ COLO better

#112

−1.0 #130

Turnovers

CIN better ▶

+0.8 #16

71 plays #20

Pace

◀ COLO faster

66 plays #75

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When COLO has the ball

Even matchup

	COLO off	CIN def	Edge
Points / game	19.5 #124	26.8 #97	CIN
Yards / play	5.54 #96	6.16 #117	COLO
PPA / play	+0.01 #118	+0.21 #116	Even
Success rate	40% #109	45% #119	Even

When CIN has the ball

Advantage: CIN offense

	CIN off	COLO def	Edge
Points / game	35.2 #35	25.7 #88	CIN
Yards / play	6.99 #10	5.04 #44	CIN
PPA / play	+0.34 #6	0.00 #31	CIN
Success rate	47% #34	38% #34	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

COLO scoring against the CIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
COLO scored	5.2 #89	4.7 #127	9.8 #118	5.0 #96	4.7 #120	9.7 #117
CIN allowed	4.5 #62	8.7 #96	13.2 #85	4.8 #71	8.8 #122	13.7 #107

CIN scoring against the COLO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CIN scored	4.0 #98	8.7 #78	12.7 #94	11.7 #3	10.8 #8	22.5 #1
COLO allowed	4.0 #46	7.8 #76	11.8 #66	5.5 #81	8.3 #117	13.8 #110

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.