Fri, Nov 27, 2026, 9:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Utah · Conference game
4-3 · Power #73
20
projected
@
6-0 · Power #10
44
projected
WVU 3%
97% UTAH
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 63.5
Model line
UTAH -26.5
UTAH 97% to win
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Utah 97%
Projected WVU 20 – UTAH 44 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
UTAH -26.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 63.5
How the model gets there (points from UTAH’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadUTAH rating edge+20.8+Home field+2.5+Travel+3.3=Model marginUTAH by 26.6
TotalScoring ratings63.7=Model total63.7

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
WVU−1.3 →−1.7▼ 0.4#73
UTAH+14.7 →+17.7▲ 3.0#9
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

WVU
Longer bar = better
UTAH
#44
Offense
UTAH better ▶
#14
#132
Defense
UTAH better ▶
#19
0.0 #79
Turnovers
UTAH better ▶
+0.5 #33
77 plays #5
Pace
Even
72 plays #16
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When WVU has the ball
Advantage: UTAH defense
WVU offUTAH defEdge
Points / game 37.6 #18 14.8 #12 Even
Yards / play 6.44 #37 4.82 #24 Even
PPA / play +0.19 #53 −0.01 #26 UTAH
Success rate 43% #69 34% #12 UTAH
When UTAH has the ball
Advantage: UTAH offense
UTAH offWVU defEdge
Points / game 40.2 #8 34.0 #130 UTAH
Yards / play 6.80 #17 7.22 #137 UTAH
PPA / play +0.30 #18 +0.29 #133 UTAH
Success rate 50% #12 48% #129 UTAH

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
WVU scoring against the UTAH defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
WVU scored
8.4
#32
10.4
#42
18.9
#36
8.9
#16
9.9
#16
18.7
#12
UTAH allowed
0.5
#1
4.5
#24
5.0
#3
6.3
#94
3.5
#12
9.8
#48
UTAH scoring against the WVU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
UTAH scored
12.5
#2
11.5
#27
24.0
#10
6.8
#50
9.3
#23
16.2
#30
WVU allowed
6.4
#107
6.9
#66
13.3
#89
8.1
#122
12.6
#138
20.7
#137

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
UTAH +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
WVU7d
UTAH7d
Even
Tempo
Fast 149 plays
slowavg 133fast
Altitude
WVU +3,576 ft
Model adds 3.3 pts for travel

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.