Fri, Nov 27, 2026, 9:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Utah · Conference game
WVU 3%97% UTAH
Spread
—
Total
—
model 63.5
Model line
UTAH -26.5
UTAH 97% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Utah 97%
Projected WVU 20 – UTAH 44 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
UTAH -26.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 63.5
How the model gets there (points from UTAH’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadUTAH rating edge+20.8+Home field+2.5+Travel+3.3=Model marginUTAH by 26.6
TotalScoring ratings63.7=Model total63.7
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 5-4-1 56% | 8-2 80% | |
| 10-0 100% | 7-2-1 78% | 7-3 70% |
Next 3 games
With how the last meeting with each opponent went
No more games this season.
No more games this season.
Recent meetings
Last 1 since 2023
WVU 0–1 UTAH
UTAH leads · 1 game since 2023 · UTAH has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 2025 | Utah 48 @ West Virginia 14 | UTAH -12.5 | UTAH W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
WVU−1.3 →−1.7▼ 0.4#73
UTAH+14.7 →+17.7▲ 3.0#9
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12
Longer bar = better
#44
Offense
UTAH better ▶#14
#132
Defense
UTAH better ▶#19
0.0 #79
Turnovers
UTAH better ▶+0.5 #33
77 plays #5
Pace
Even72 plays #16
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| WVU off | UTAH def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 37.6 #18 | 14.8 #12 | Even |
| Yards / play | 6.44 #37 | 4.82 #24 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.19 #53 | −0.01 #26 | UTAH |
| Success rate | 43% #69 | 34% #12 | UTAH |
| UTAH off | WVU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 40.2 #8 | 34.0 #130 | UTAH |
| Yards / play | 6.80 #17 | 7.22 #137 | UTAH |
| PPA / play | +0.30 #18 | +0.29 #133 | UTAH |
| Success rate | 50% #12 | 48% #129 | UTAH |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
WVU scoring against the UTAH defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8.4 #32 | 10.4 #42 | 18.9 #36 | 8.9 #16 | 9.9 #16 | 18.7 #12 | |
0.5 #1 | 4.5 #24 | 5.0 #3 | 6.3 #94 | 3.5 #12 | 9.8 #48 |
UTAH scoring against the WVU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12.5 #2 | 11.5 #27 | 24.0 #10 | 6.8 #50 | 9.3 #23 | 16.2 #30 | |
6.4 #107 | 6.9 #66 | 13.3 #89 | 8.1 #122 | 12.6 #138 | 20.7 #137 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
WVU7d
UTAH7d
Even
Tempo
Fast 149 plays
slowavg 133fast
Altitude
WVU +3,576 ft
Model adds 3.3 pts for travel
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

