Kansas State @ Iowa State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Iowa State · Conference game

Kansas State

4-2 · Power #42

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Iowa State

3-3 · Power #49

projected

KSU 49%

51% ISU

Spread

—

Total

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model 51.5

Model line

ISU -0.5

ISU 51% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KSU WLLLW	3-3	50%	0-1	—
ISU WWLPL	2-3-1	40%	1-2-1	—

Venue/role: KSU away; ISU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KSU UOOUO	4-2	67%	4-2
ISU UOOOU	3-3	50%	3-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KSU	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%
ISU	6-4 60%	4-5-1 44%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Kansas State

No more games this season.

Iowa State

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

KSU 0–3 ISU ISU leads · 3 games since 2023 · ISU has won the last 3 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Aug 23 2025	Iowa State 24 @ Kansas State 21	KSU -2.5	ISU W
Nov 30 2024	Kansas State 21 @ Iowa State 29	ISU -2.5	ISU W
Nov 25 2023	Iowa State 42 @ Kansas State 35	KSU -9.5	ISU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KSU+6.3 →+6.4▲ 0.1#42

ISU+6.2 →+4.7▼ 1.5#50

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

KSU

Longer bar = better

ISU

#29

Offense

◀ KSU better

#83

#51

Defense

◀ KSU better

#77

−0.3 #97

Turnovers

ISU better ▶

+0.5 #36

71 plays #27

Pace

◀ KSU faster

62 plays #117

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KSU has the ball

Advantage: KSU offense

	KSU off	ISU def	Edge
Points / game	35.5 #33	21.7 #51	Even
Yards / play	6.58 #25	5.84 #100	KSU
PPA / play	+0.24 #28	+0.11 #83	KSU
Success rate	48% #30	42% #74	KSU

When ISU has the ball

Advantage: KSU defense

	ISU off	KSU def	Edge
Points / game	29.7 #68	20.0 #39	KSU
Yards / play	5.83 #71	5.07 #46	KSU
PPA / play	+0.13 #80	+0.13 #89	Even
Success rate	39% #112	37% #28	KSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

KSU scoring against the ISU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KSU scored	6.3 #65	11.7 #26	18.0 #41	8.5 #20	9.0 #29	17.5 #21
ISU allowed	5.8 #95	6.8 #64	12.7 #78	3.5 #38	5.5 #50	9.0 #36

ISU scoring against the KSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ISU scored	7.0 #50	9.7 #56	16.7 #55	5.0 #95	8.0 #50	13.0 #75
KSU allowed	5.2 #82	6.2 #52	11.3 #60	6.3 #94	2.3 #2	8.7 #32

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.