Western Michigan @ Akron: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2026)

Tue, Nov 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Akron · Conference game

Western Michigan

5-2 · Power #88

projected

Tue 7:00 PM ET

Akron

1-6 · Power #133

projected

WMU 82%

18% AKR

Spread

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Total

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model 48

Model line

WMU -13

WMU 82% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WMU LLLWL	3-4	43%	1-3	—
AKR LLLWL	3-4	43%	2-1	—

Venue/role: WMU away; AKR home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WMU OUUOU	3-4	43%	5-2
AKR UUOUO	4-3	57%	1-6

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WMU	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
AKR	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Western Michigan

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 17	vs EMU	W31–21WO
Nov 24	vs M-OH	W23–13WU

Akron

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 18	@ MASS	W44–10WO
Nov 27	vs BUFF	W24–16WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

WMU 16–4 AKR WMU leads · 20 games since 1975 · WMU has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 12 2024	Akron 24 @ Western Michigan 34	WMU -9.5	WMU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WMU−4.7 →−4.7–#86

AKR−15.6 →−19.0▼ 3.4#133

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

WMU

Longer bar = better

AKR

#83

Offense

◀ WMU better

#114

#53

Defense

◀ WMU better

#121

+0.6 #26

Turnovers

◀ WMU better

−1.0 #131

60 plays #125

Pace

AKR faster ▶

65 plays #82

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WMU has the ball

Advantage: WMU offense

	WMU off	AKR def	Edge
Points / game	25.0 #91	32.4 #124	WMU
Yards / play	5.40 #107	6.71 #132	WMU
PPA / play	+0.16 #64	+0.23 #122	WMU
Success rate	43% #71	44% #107	WMU

When AKR has the ball

Advantage: WMU defense

	AKR off	WMU def	Edge
Points / game	18.9 #126	16.9 #24	WMU
Yards / play	5.22 #114	5.01 #40	WMU
PPA / play	+0.04 #109	+0.07 #56	WMU
Success rate	40% #107	42% #90	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

WMU scoring against the AKR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WMU scored	5.4 #87	6.9 #101	12.3 #99	4.4 #108	8.3 #48	12.7 #82
AKR allowed	5.3 #83	12.3 #132	17.6 #121	7.7 #117	7.1 #95	14.9 #118

AKR scoring against the WMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
AKR scored	4.0 #98	4.9 #124	8.9 #124	3.3 #126	6.7 #74	10.0 #109
WMU allowed	3.1 #32	4.0 #19	7.1 #13	3.4 #37	6.3 #69	9.7 #47

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.