Bowling Green @ Western Michigan: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Western Michigan · Conference game

Kickoff forecast62°F10 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

Bowling Green

2-5 · Power #129

projected

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Western Michigan

5-2 · Power #88

projected

BGSU 13%

87% WMU

Spread

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Total

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model 41.5

Model line

WMU -15.5

WMU 87% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BGSU LWWWL	3-4	43%	1-2	—
WMU LLLWL	3-4	43%	2-1	—

Venue/role: BGSU away; WMU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BGSU OUOOO	5-2	71%	2-5
WMU OUUOU	3-4	43%	5-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BGSU	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%
WMU	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Bowling Green

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 10	vs KENT	L21–24LU
Nov 20	@ TOL	W28–23WO
Nov 28	vs MASS	W45–14WO

Western Michigan

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 10	@ AKR	W34–24WO
Nov 17	vs EMU	W31–21WO
Nov 24	vs M-OH	W23–13WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

BGSU 2–0 WMU BGSU leads · 2 games since 2023 · BGSU has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 12 2024	Western Michigan 13 @ Bowling Green 31	BGSU -9.5	BGSU W
Nov 21 2023	Bowling Green 34 @ Western Michigan 10	BGSU -2.5	BGSU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BGSU−12.7 →−16.4▼ 3.7#129

WMU−4.7 →−4.7–#86

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

BGSU

Longer bar = better

WMU

#120

Offense

WMU better ▶

#83

#116

Defense

WMU better ▶

#53

−0.1 #83

Turnovers

WMU better ▶

+0.6 #26

58 plays #134

Pace

Even

60 plays #125

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BGSU has the ball

Advantage: WMU defense

	BGSU off	WMU def	Edge
Points / game	18.0 #129	16.9 #24	WMU
Yards / play	4.84 #131	5.01 #40	WMU
PPA / play	−0.01 #122	+0.07 #56	WMU
Success rate	40% #99	42% #90	Even

When WMU has the ball

Advantage: WMU offense

	WMU off	BGSU def	Edge
Points / game	25.0 #91	29.6 #114	WMU
Yards / play	5.40 #107	6.28 #120	Even
PPA / play	+0.16 #64	+0.16 #105	WMU
Success rate	43% #71	47% #125	WMU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

BGSU scoring against the WMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BGSU scored	1.4 #136	6.7 #102	8.1 #127	1.4 #136	7.4 #57	8.9 #124
WMU allowed	3.1 #32	4.0 #19	7.1 #13	3.4 #37	6.3 #69	9.7 #47

WMU scoring against the BGSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WMU scored	5.4 #87	6.9 #101	12.3 #99	4.4 #108	8.3 #48	12.7 #82
BGSU allowed	6.9 #112	8.3 #85	15.1 #104	2.9 #29	10.4 #135	13.3 #99

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.