Fri, Oct 30, 2026, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Charlotte · Conference game
Kickoff forecast70°F4 mphDryWeather watch ›
3-3 · Power #86
29
projected
@
1-6 · Power #135
17
projected
TULN 85%
15% CLT
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 46
Model line
TULN -14.5
TULN 85% to win
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Tulane 85%
Projected TULN 29 – CLT 17 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
TULN -14.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 46
How the model gets there (points from CLT’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadCLT rating edge−17.8+Home field+2.5+Travel+1.0=Model marginTULN by 14.3
TotalScoring ratings45.9=Model total45.9

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
TULN+2.5 →−4.3▼ 6.8#85
CLT−18.1 →−20.5▼ 2.4#135
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

TULN
Longer bar = better
CLT
#111
Offense
Even
#121
#75
Defense
◀ TULN better
#130
+0.3 #53
Turnovers
◀ TULN better
−1.7 #138
59 plays #128
Pace
Even
58 plays #135
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When TULN has the ball
Even matchup
TULN offCLT defEdge
Points / game 20.5 #116 40.6 #136 Even
Yards / play 5.61 #89 6.58 #129 TULN
PPA / play +0.06 #102 +0.25 #124 TULN
Success rate 33% #137 48% #132 Even
When CLT has the ball
Advantage: TULN defense
CLT offTULN defEdge
Points / game 19.1 #125 21.7 #52 TULN
Yards / play 5.37 #109 5.94 #104 Even
PPA / play −0.02 #124 +0.09 #70 TULN
Success rate 38% #124 42% #75 TULN

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
TULN scoring against the CLT defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
TULN scored
2.3
#129
8.3
#80
10.7
#111
2.8
#127
7.0
#65
9.8
#112
CLT allowed
7.3
#117
12.0
#129
19.3
#131
8.9
#129
10.3
#133
19.1
#134
CLT scoring against the TULN defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
CLT scored
2.4
#125
4.0
#134
6.4
#134
5.0
#96
5.9
#96
10.9
#97
TULN allowed
4.5
#62
6.8
#64
11.3
#60
3.5
#38
6.8
#87
10.3
#58

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
CLT +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
70° · 4 mph
gusts 5 mph · kickoff forecast
Rest
TULN6d
CLT13d bye
CLT +7 days
Tempo
Slow 117 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.