Fri, Oct 30, 2026, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Charlotte · Conference game
TULN 85%15% CLT
Spread
—
Total
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model 46
Model line
TULN -14.5
TULN 85% to win
Pick this game
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Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Tulane 85%
Projected TULN 29 – CLT 17 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
TULN -14.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
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Model 46
How the model gets there (points from CLT’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadCLT rating edge−17.8+Home field+2.5+Travel+1.0=Model marginTULN by 14.3
TotalScoring ratings45.9=Model total45.9
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% | |
| 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 2 since 2023
TULN 2–0 CLT
TULN leads · 2 games since 2023 · TULN has won the last 2 meetings
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 2025 | Charlotte 0 @ Tulane 27 | TULN -29.5 | CLT W |
| Oct 31 2024 | Tulane 34 @ Charlotte 3 | TULN -14.5 | TULN W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
TULN+2.5 →−4.3▼ 6.8#85
CLT−18.1 →−20.5▼ 2.4#135
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8
Longer bar = better
#111
Offense
Even#121
#75
Defense
◀ TULN better#130
+0.3 #53
Turnovers
◀ TULN better−1.7 #138
59 plays #128
Pace
Even58 plays #135
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| TULN off | CLT def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 20.5 #116 | 40.6 #136 | Even |
| Yards / play | 5.61 #89 | 6.58 #129 | TULN |
| PPA / play | +0.06 #102 | +0.25 #124 | TULN |
| Success rate | 33% #137 | 48% #132 | Even |
| CLT off | TULN def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 19.1 #125 | 21.7 #52 | TULN |
| Yards / play | 5.37 #109 | 5.94 #104 | Even |
| PPA / play | −0.02 #124 | +0.09 #70 | TULN |
| Success rate | 38% #124 | 42% #75 | TULN |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
TULN scoring against the CLT defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2.3 #129 | 8.3 #80 | 10.7 #111 | 2.8 #127 | 7.0 #65 | 9.8 #112 | |
7.3 #117 | 12.0 #129 | 19.3 #131 | 8.9 #129 | 10.3 #133 | 19.1 #134 |
CLT scoring against the TULN defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2.4 #125 | 4.0 #134 | 6.4 #134 | 5.0 #96 | 5.9 #96 | 10.9 #97 | |
4.5 #62 | 6.8 #64 | 11.3 #60 | 3.5 #38 | 6.8 #87 | 10.3 #58 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
70° · 4 mph
gusts 5 mph · kickoff forecast
Rest
TULN6d
CLT13d bye
CLT +7 days
Tempo
Slow 117 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

